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Sunday, 22 December 2024

Disturbance



However, as it generally happens that those, who have had many experiences, vacillate, so long as they regard a thing as future or past, and are usually in doubt about its issue (II. xliv. note); it follows that the emotions which arise from similar images of things are not so constant, but are generally disturbed by the images of other things, until men become assured of the issue.

Baruch Spinoza – Ethics (1677)


As Spinoza said, shifting from one viewpoint to another counts as a disturbance and we don’t generally seek this kind of disturbance. It’s a barrier to change, a hill we would have to climb to see what’s on the other side.

This brings out an aspect of the term ‘confirmation bias’, because we don’t necessarily seek the confirmation. Sometimes we do, mostly we don’t, because seeking confirmation might be disturbing. In the main it’s just bias, protection against disturbance and the online world suggests it can be pretty crude protection.

This is what mainstream media cater for, not only bias but the underlying protection against disturbance. They even make conspicuous and repeated use of the word ‘disturbing’, as do politicians. Bias is the outcome, the behaviour we see, while the remarkably powerful spectre of disturbance is what keeps the bias in place. News stories which might be disturbing are presented as windows on a disturbing world, confirmation that a particular media comfort zone is the right comfort zone.

Apart from confounding factors such as vested interests, this issue of disturbance seems to account for the slow pace in which absurd public narratives are corrected. It can take generations or even centuries to correct even the most abject stupidity. Belief in witchcraft is a historical example, catastrophic climate change a modern one.

Saturday, 21 December 2024

Crowds and Warnings



Before tootling off on a short local walk, Mrs H and I popped into a busy Costa this morning. We both noticed how crowded it was, especially as warnings from the RAC and AA have suggested that virtually the entire UK population will brave howling winds to be out on the roads over the next few days.


Travel news live: Christmas getaway weekend delays after M25 crash and 80mph wind weather warnings in place

Roads and public transport could be disrupted by strong winds as the Met Office forecast a wet and windy weekend for many.

The AA predicted 23.7 million drivers hit the road on Friday, making it the busiest day on the roads since the group’s records began in 2010.

It projected that Saturday would see 22.7 million drivers and Sunday 21.3 million.

Mangled



Lord Mandelson called an ‘absolute moron’ by Trump campaign chief


Donald Trump’s campaign manager has called Lord Mandelson an “absolute moron” and said he should “stay home” after the Labour peer was announced as the UK’s next ambassador to Washington.

Chris LaCivita, who masterminded Mr Trump’s presidential bid earlier this year, hit back at Sir Keir Starmer’s choice for the role and praised the incumbent, Dame Karen Pierce.

“This UK government is special,” he said. “Replace a professional universally respected ambo with an absolute moron - he should stay home! Sad!”



I don't have any particular angle on this, merely the belated pleasure of seeing Mandelson mangled so robustly and so prominently. 

Friday, 20 December 2024

Septuple Whammy


Usual health warning - it's the Grauniad


Elon Musk is becoming a one-man rogue state – it’s time we reined him in

He has bankrolled elections, stoked riots and ignored laws. We mustn’t make the mistake of playing nice with the world’s richest bully

Elon Musk is, more or less, a rogue state. His intentions are self-serving and nefarious, and his nation-state level resources allow him to flout the law with impunity. To put it into context, if dollars were metres, Musk’s money would be enough to take him to Mars and back, while a mere millionaire could only make a round trip from Paris to Amsterdam.



Reads like a bit of a lip-trembler, but understandable as Musk represents a septuple whammy for Grauniad folk. He's -
  1. Very rich
  2. Smart
  3. White
  4. Male
  5. Politically moderate
  6. Outspoken
  7. In favour of free speech

Vote for me or...



MercoPress has a piece on plans by Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro to 'further democratize' his country. 


Maduro eyes Constitutional reform for Venezuela

Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro announced Thursday that he was planning a constitutional reform to further democratize his country in addition to empowering the citizenry and consolidating freedom and national sovereignty. “I have formed a team with great international and national advisors to think together with our people about a great constitutional reform that will further democratize Venezuelan society,” Maduro said.

“We are going toward a democratizing process in an expanded stage of the Venezuelan society, our process and project is to go to a great democratization of the institutional political, economic, social, cultural, and educational life of all Venezuela,” he went on while heralding more democratic processes in 2025 with the elections of governors, mayors, municipal councils, legislatures, and the National Assembly. “We are going to make a great democratizing dynamic,” he argued.


From the perspective of this outsider, the current democratic process is easily summed up as -

'Vote for Maduro or else.' 

Maybe this is to be extended  - 

'Vote for Maduro's candidate or else.'  

We'll see.

Even that's a lie



Starmer: No regrets about decisions I’ve made

Sir Keir Starmer has said he has no regrets about the decisions he has made in the past six months and would do nothing differently.

The Prime Minister made the comments as he answered questions from the liaison committee of senior MPs from all parties for the first time.


Of course he has regrets, being the worst ever Prime Minister was never his ambition. Another regret must be his inability to spend every minute of his time flying around the world on endless meeting tours.

He's the mediocre lawyer who shouldn't be there and the whole world knows it. He can't do the job, doesn't know what his next move should be, probably isn't looking forward to Christmas, probably isn't looking forward to 2025, doesn't know if he'll still be PM by the end of another year of serial blunders and can't trust any of his colleagues.

Of course he has his regrets - or he's mad.

Thursday, 19 December 2024

Dark Brandon

 

Regulatory decadence



Fred de Fossard has a timely CAPX piece on the malign effects of the UK Online Safety Act.


What tech company would do business in Britain?

  • OpenAI's new text-to-video AI tool, Sora, will not be launched in the UK
  • The pernicious effects of the Online Safety Act are now being felt
  • Governments were warned not to heavily regulate tech, but they didn't listen
The Online Safety Act is kicking in and the reality of having an internet governed by Ofcom is starting to materialise; no matter what the Act’s advocates say, this reality isn’t pretty. Regulations like the Online Safety Act make Britain a bad place to do business and to be online. 


The whole piece is well worth reading as yet another indicator that the current rate of UK decline is not decreasing.


Following the summer’s riots, the Government seeks new ways of strengthening this law to suppress speech online. This is regulatory decadence at its worst. Ofcom is becoming one of the most powerful regulators in the country, and one of the strongest signs to stay away from the British economy. Until these regulators are brought to heel and these laws repealed, British prosperity will continue to suffer.

Influencer



‘Londoners beware’: Influencer’s warning after brazen Birkin bag theft on Oxford Street


An influencer is warning other women shopping in London’s West End “to beware” after CCTV caught the moment her new £10,000 Birkin bag was stolen as she tried on clothes at a boutique.

Model Janice Joostema, who boasts 1.2million followers on Instagram, said it had been “gut-wrenching” to watch a female thief swipe the item while she got undressed in a VIP changing room at Manière De Voir on Oxford Street.



Surely that's a successful bit of influencing. Perhaps not the kind of personal influence an influencer would wish to influence, but effective.

I wonder if Starmer counts himself as an influencer? Whizzing around the world as he does, suggests he isn't a good influencer because he has to work so hard at it. He doesn't have a £10,000 Birkin bag though. Not yet anyway. 

Wednesday, 18 December 2024

The Grauniad is disturbed



Donald Trump’s disturbing war on the press has now escalated

The Donald Trump vengeance tour is on the road and the media is in its crosshairs. “It should have been the justice department or somebody else, but I have to do it,” the president-elect intoned on Monday. “It costs a lot of money to do it, but we have to straighten out the press.”

“Our press is very corrupt,” he continued. “Almost as corrupt as our elections.”

Also on Monday, a 15-year-old student in Wisconsin killed two people, injured six others, and took her own life with a 9mm pistol. The US supreme court, however, accords firearms the same constitutional protections as speech and worship. In Trumpworld, guns and the second amendment rock, the press not so much.



Presumably the Gruaniad wishes its easily triggered readers to remain undisturbed by hints of an obvious, long-running cause for Donald Trump's attitude to media bias.
 

For the view he took of life was very simple, undisturbed by any sense of irony, unspoiled by curiosity, or desire to link effect with cause, or indeed, to admit the necessity of cause at all.

John Galsworthy – A Motley (1910)

Dolt Point Theory



As we know Dolt Point theory allows us to estimate critical Dolt Point weaknesses in any governing political party.

The Dolt Point is of course the point as which certain doltish indicators coalesce around a prominent individual who then becomes the focus of the developing Dolt Point, the point at which this particular individual must be ejected from his or her position in the party hierarchy.

Clearly we have a problem here in the UK, because three Dolt Points appear to be coalescing simultaneously around three prominent individuals, something Dolt Point theory would not have predicted in its current formulation. Equally clearly, those three Dolt Point individuals are Keir Starmer, Rachel Reeves and Ed Miliband, yet if all three are not ejected, then one or more Dolt Points may survive relatively unscathed.

Apart from presenting Dolt Point theorists with a problem, we also have the spectre of uncontrollable Dolt Point Chaos, a theoretical area as yet unexplored. Unfortunately, Keir Starmer seems to be exploring it.

Sticking to the script


A reminder of what Dominic Cummings says about UK Cabinet meetings. Many will have seen it, but it is worth revisiting as the Starmer disaster unfolds. Starmer clearly sees himself as a very senior official, not as a Prime Minister ensuring political oversight of government.

 

Tuesday, 17 December 2024

Pob



Kellogg's just made a major change to Corn Flakes cereal after 66 years

Corn Flakes might not be the sexiest of all the cereal options in the supermarket, but they’ve been a reliable choice for decades.

However, Kellogg’s latest move might surprise some as it involves a major change being made to its iconic mascot, for the very first time.

After 66 years, Cornelius the cockerel is entering a new era, in a bid to connect with a younger generation and combat declining sales.



A quick and easy breakfast I suppose, but my father used to refer to all breakfast cereals as 'pob'. I've always see it as a pretty good description, whatever Cornelius the cockerel might get up to.

My breakfast is usually a lump of cheese and a couple of dry oatmeal crackers. Nothing complicated and certainly not pob.

Extinguished by the language



A new European Metacities Partnership takes shape to foster Metacity development in Europe


On October 30, 2024, during the leading 5G ecosystem event in Europe, Techritory, a Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) was signed to commit to forming a European Metacities Partnership. The Memorandum was signed by 15 public and private organizations from six European countries – Latvia, Greece, Bulgaria, Belgium, Finland, and Cyprus...

The organizations that signed the MoU have also committed to taking specific coordinated actions, such as sharing insights in technologies, use cases, and business models, identifying EU-funded projects and inviting partners in consortia to write and submit proposals, and organizing industry workshops and discussion forums.



There could be something in the European Metacities notion, but it is very difficult to read a piece such as this without seeing yet another gravy train. Another taxpayer-funded middle class talking shop riding on the back of developments which were probably going to happen anyway.

The clues are all over the place - "EU funded projects", "workshops", "discussion forums." It's not encouraging - any inclination to examine the idea further is extinguished by the language.

Live



Watch live: Starmer meets world leaders in Estonia as he visits troops serving on Russian border

Watch live as Sir Keir Starmer meets leaders of Baltic states in Estonia for the Joint Expeditionary Force (JEF) conference on Tuesday, 17 December, before he visits British troops serving on Russia's border.

The Prime Minister will join leaders from the Nordics and Baltics to discuss support for Ukraine, the sustained threat posed by Russia, and wider European security.

Sir Keir will then visit British forces serving in the region to deter malign Russian threats.



We've known this for some time now, our Prime Minister is addicted to running away. Perhaps this time he's dreading Christmas with the family.

It also seems odd for the word 'live' to be associated with him. True in a biological sense presumably, but still odd. He give the impression of an old-fashioned automaton, a creature of cogs, wheels, springs and painted cotton assembled in a secluded workshop by a clockmaker. Or a toolmaker perhaps.

Monday, 16 December 2024

Reliance on weather gods



Carl Deconinck
has a Brussels Signal reminder that all is not well with sustainable energy in Europe.


Sweden slams German ‘green’ energy policy reliance on ‘weather gods’

The recent spike in energy prices has caused diplomatic friction between Sweden and Germany, with Sweden’s Deputy Prime Minister Ebba Busch pointing the finger at Germany’s ‘green’ energy policy as its cause...

On December 16, she told German newspaper Bild: “It is difficult for an industrial economy to rely on the benevolence of the weather gods for its prosperity. The dependence on unsteady energy sources such as wind and sun has proven to be a challenge, as last week showed.

“Sweden’s Government supports renewable energies, but no political will is strong enough to override the laws of physics – not even that of [German climate minister Robert] Habeck … so it is strange when politicians are amazed at the results of a weather-dependent power system.


When the wind don't blow 
The amps don't flow
But Ed, dear old Ed
He don't seem to know

Spy Story



Alleged Chinese spy 'close' to Prince Andrew identified after row erupts

The alleged Chinese spy had been pictured with senior politicians including Lord David Cameron and Baroness Theresa May.

An alleged Chinese spy banned from the UK and linked to the Duke of York can now be named as Yang Tengbo, a High Court judge has ruled.

The man – who was banned from Britain by the Government on national security grounds – visited Buckingham Palace twice, and also entered St James’s Palace and Windsor Castle at the invitation of Prince Andrew.


The security services are probably quite miffed that this story has risen to the surface. Andrew's favoured associates must be an almost infallible guide to people they should keep an eye on. Oh well, lessons learned. 

Guess the Location



...2022 Procurement Act, which outlines the management and supervision of state procurement activities and establishes both civil and administrative penalties.

The law notably establishes distinct categories of state procurement while allowing for various procurement methods, apparently aimed at strengthening state economic planning.

Article 3 defines two types of procurement: “planned procurement,” which is directed by state planning organizations, and “free procurement,” which allows for voluntary contracts between procurement agents and companies.

Articles 4 and 6 establish conditions for agents to actively seek resources and participate voluntarily in procurement activities, enabling mutual benefit among involved parties.



Yes it's North Korea, couldn't possibly be anywhere else.

Sunday, 15 December 2024

Wes Streeting On Manoeuvres

 

Sir Keir and the Lowerarchy



Having an idea there is a whiff of sulphur surrounding the Keir Starmer government, I recently reread The Screwtape Letters by C. S. Lewis.


In The Screwtape Letters, Lewis imagines a series of lessons on the importance of taking a deliberate role in Christian faith by portraying a typical human life, with all its temptations and failings, seen from devils' viewpoints. Screwtape holds an administrative post in the bureaucracy ("Lowerarchy") of Hell. Until the book's final pages, Screwtape acts as a mentor to his nephew Wormwood, an inexperienced and incompetent tempter.



After Wormwood’s failure as a trainee tempter, it is easy to imagine how other Lowerarchy tempters may have been far more successful. The effect of Screwtape's crafty guidance is easily seen in political life today, Sir Keir Starmer being just one of his many successes.


Your man has been accustomed, ever since he was a boy, to have a dozen incompatible philosophies dancing about together inside his head. He doesn't think of doctrines as primarily "true" of "false", but as "academic" or "practical", "outworn" or "contemporary", "conventional" or "ruthless". Jargon, not argument, is your best ally in keeping him from the Church...

If he must dabble in science, keep him on economics and sociology; don't let him get away from that invaluable "real life". But the best of all is to let him read no science but to give him a grand general idea that he knows it all and that everything he happens to have picked up in casual talk and reading is "the results of modern investigation"...

Aggravate that most useful human characteristic, the horror and neglect of the obvious. You must bring him to a condition in which he can practise self-examination for an hour without discovering any of those facts about himself ,which are perfectly clear to anyone who has over lived in the same house with him or worked the same office.


C. S. Lewis - The Screwtape Letters (1942)

That which we have long declined to do.



Woman dies after triple shooting in London as police launch murder probe


A murder investigation has been launched after a woman was killed and a man was left in a critical condition following a triple shooting in north-west London.

Describing the incident as a “heinous act of violence”, the Metropolitan Police said officers were called at around 9.15pm on Saturday night to Gifford Road in Brent.



And barely an eyebrow is raised as our weakness shrugs and moves on.

I have just returned from a ride in my litter; and I am as weary as if I had walked the distance, instead of being seated. Even to be carried for any length of time is hard work, perhaps all the more so because it is an unnatural exercise; for Nature gave us legs with which to do our own walking, and eyes with which to do our own seeing. Our luxuries have condemned us to weakness; we have ceased to be able to do that which we have long declined to do.

Seneca - Epistulae morales ad Lucilium c. 65 AD

Saturday, 14 December 2024

Throwley Old Hall



Interesting video about Throwley Old Hall in Staffordshire, not far from the Staffordshire/Derbyshire boundary. It can be seen from a couple of our walks, although we haven't been that way for a few years.

There is a nearby farm and holiday accommodation now, but when inhabited the Hall must have seemed a remote and strangely situated place. What went on there? It would be easy to make up stories.

 

More on gambling



Inside the town where Rachel Reeves is MP - abandoned shops and businesses on the brink


In Pudsey, the biggest town in Reeves's constituency, just under one in five people are aged 65 or over and here, like anywhere in the UK, the controversial scrapping of the winter fuel allowance is perhaps the one policy that Reeves is universally known for.

Susan Watson, 52, works in the local Age UK and has seen firsthand the impact that the removal of the £300 payment to help with energy bills is having.

She told the Express: "She's not too well liked anymore, put it that way.



Presumably Rachel is gambling too, on the Five Missions, Plan for Change, lots of Milestones and above all, the “relentless focus on delivering for working people.” She's gambling that her colleagues aren't useless ideologues and there is always a comfortable sinecure for failed Chancellors.

It's quite a gamble, apart from the last one, and this explains a good deal of political behaviour.

Friday, 13 December 2024

Maybe it's a clue



Man wins £70,000 payout after medication caused compulsive gambling habit

A66-year-old man who became a compulsive gambler and shopper after being prescribed a medication for restless leg syndrome has received a £70,000 settlement from his GP...

Leigh Day solicitors, which represented Mr Stevens, said the GP did not warn him of possible side-effects including an impulse control disorder which can cause uncontrollable gambling or shopping.



Interesting - Net Zero could certainly be described as uncontrollable gambling on a vast scale. Mass immigration too. The government is more casino than responsible government. 

Maybe it's a clue.

Starmer's Android Stare


Disappointed



UK economy unexpectedly declines as services sector stalls


The UK economy unexpectedly contracted in October, marking two months in a row of negative growth for the first time since the pandemic, new figures show.

Chancellor Rachel Reeves said she was “disappointed” by the data after a weak month for pubs and restaurants dragged on growth amid some uncertainty ahead of the autumn Budget...


The Chancellor said: “We are determined to deliver economic growth as higher growth means increased living standards for everyone, everywhere. This is what our Plan for Change is all about.


Probably the first of many disappointments in efficacy of the Plan for Change, whatever it is. No doubt it will have to be changed for another type of Change with more Plan in it and maybe a Milestone or two. 

I'm sure Rachel is nowhere near as disappointed as the general population though.  

Thursday, 12 December 2024

Judging by the droppings



Iain Hunter has a useful FSB piece on being prepared for future tax raids by Rachel Reaves.


Taxed to Death

Taxed when you, taxed when you sell - even though you've made a loss

In the wake of that appalling Reaves budget on Halloween this year in which this Fabian functionary of the World Economic Forum raided family farms and heritable private pension funds, we really ought to consider what her next move will be. One thing we can be sure of is that she won’t leave it at that. The NHS needs more money, don’t you know? Therefore, some counter argument needs to be prepared in advance.

Judging by the droppings from left-wing ‘think-tanks’, she is bound to be taking a look at what she and others of her ilk no doubt regard as unearned profits when people sell houses for significantly more than they paid for them. This could take two forms: Either the imposition of Capital Gains Tax (CGT) on house sales; or the scrapping of the Residence Nil Rate Band of Inheritance Tax (IHT) which allows a married or ‘partnered’ couple to pass on to offspring tax free a family home worth up to £1 million. Or maybe even both.



Well worth reading as a reminder that our odious government is odious enough to raid any potential source of tax revenue rather than grasp the nettle of efficiency.


“But the NHS still needs more money”, states Reaves, “who else do I get it from?”

“You’ve got it”, say I. “Take it from the money you’re going to spaff up against the wall in Ukraine, on Net Zero projects, on useless ‘green energy’ projects, on foreign aid for useless green energy projects, on the migrants nobody wants, on the criminal amounts of waste you and we all know occurs in all parts of the public sector. You could even slash the civil service in half and no-one would notice. And get those who are left back into the office for at least nine hours a day, five days a week”.

“Any questions. Ms Reaves?”

Just in case anyone thinks I have mis-spelt Rachel Reaves name, I haven’t. It’s deliberate. To reave is a Middle English verb. Look it up.


Tom Armstrong did look it up -

Reave; from Old English rēafian - to rob

Wave the magic trowel



Government demands 'immediate, mandatory' housing plans from councils to build 1.5m homes

Prime Minister Sir Keir Starmer said: "Our Plan for Change will put builders not blockers first, overhaul the broken planning system and put roofs over the heads of working families and drive the growth that will put more money in people's pockets.

"We're taking immediate action to make the dream of homeownership a reality through delivering 1.5 million homes by the next parliament and rebuilding Britain to deliver for working people."


I know nothing about building houses, but I wouldn't buy a house built from 2025 onwards. Some of them may be okay, but 'just shove them up anywhere' doesn't appeal to me as an underlying mantra.

Wednesday, 11 December 2024

Conspicuous ritualistic waste



The great principle of conspicuous ritualistic waste had been illustrated in a manner to satisfy the most exacting standard of the leisured class; and incidentally a subject of talk was provided.

Arnold Bennett - The Roll-Call (1916)


Wind turbine maker cuts hundreds of jobs on Isle of Wight

Wind turbine maker Vestas has said 600 workers at its Isle of Wight factory are at risk of redundancy.

Employees at the Newport plant have been told at least half of its manufacturing operation will be cut amid changing demand for turbine blades.

Evil or Incompetent?

 

Operation Pegasus



Police arrest 93 members of shoplifting gangs behind £4million retail thefts

A dedicated police squad has arrested 93 members of organised shoplifting gangs amid an explosion in retail thefts.

Operation Pegasus has “impacted 28 organised crime groups and high-harm individuals” responsible for more than £4 million in losses to businesses, the National Police Chiefs' Council (NPCC) said.




Invidious comparison alert -

This shoplifting loss averages out at about £43,000 per gang member, a footling amount compared to government waste, yet we don't speak of the Labour Cabinet as a "taxlifting gang" do we? As we also know, £43,000 is substantially less than Starmer's freebies.

Why invidious?

Tuesday, 10 December 2024

Maybe "assisted" means "cheap"



Chancellor Rachel Reeves dodges questions on funding for assisted dying

Chancellor Rachel Reeves has declined to say whether funds would be made available to make assisted dying free at the point of use.

Ms Reeves, who gave her backing to a new Bill when Parliament had a historic vote in favour of assisted dying last month, said she is “not convinced” such a service would mean higher costs for the public purse.

But, asked on Tuesday about funding for assisted dying, she repeatedly refused to say whether it would be funded through public money.


So it's to be a cheap version of assisted dying. A DIY version perhaps, such as a kit purchased from eBay, although maybe we shouldn't speculate about how cheap it could be.

The Iron Fist



Ministers warned of cuts as ‘every pound’ of spending to face review


Cabinet ministers have been warned they must find more savings in their departments as the Chancellor said “every pound” of Government spending will be scrutinised in a major budget review.

Secretaries of State are being told that any outgoings which are not contributing towards one of Labour’s “priorities” must be cut as Rachel Reeves vows to wield “an iron fist against waste.”

 

An iron fist? Good grief, what do we say about such silly rhetoric? 

Waste is a large part of what they do - have a chat with Ed Miliband about subsidies and electricity generation which doesn't work without it.

Monday, 9 December 2024

Just Send Ed



Daily life interrupted as Pyongyang’s power shortage drags on

The regime is doing its best to provide power to essential hospitals that often deal with medical emergencies

The power shortage in North Korea’s capital Pyongyang remains severe, creating serious disruptions to daily life. Despite efforts to tap renewable energy sources like solar and wind power, these initiatives have had limited impact on addressing the electricity crisis.



There we are, a Pyongyang situation we in the UK may regard as an experiment. Clearly we need to send Ed Miliband there for a prolonged personal investigation into why wind and solar have had limited impact on Pyongyang power shortages.


North Korea faces a chronic shortage of electricity. Those who live in high-rise apartments are only able to use the elevators around rush hour. There is no electricity at other hours, forcing residents to make their way up and down the stairs.


Ed could spend some time living in one of those high-rise apartments and really get a feel for the issues. It would improve his fitness level too.

The Bunglerati



The scene is a poorly lit café somewhere in the back streets of a large city. The café has only two customers, two men sitting at a table in the corner of the room. One man is known only as Smith, the other is Sir Keir Starmer, UK Prime Minister.

Smith gazes around the café before speaking in a hushed voice – “your security team is outside, but we are quite alone here and may speak freely?”

“Of course,” says Sir Keir, adjusting his spectacles with a characteristic gesture.

“Very well. Before the general election you met one of my colleagues. He explained who we are. He also outlined our interest in your career, which until then was quite satisfactory.”

“Yes, I remember.” Sir Keir fiddles again with his spectacles. He seems nervous.

“As you know, Sir Keir, we are the Bunglerati, the real power behind global affairs. We are an ancient order and we advance by what is crudely termed failing upwards. By ensuring that projects, plans, developments do not quite go according to plan, we ensure, with infinitely fine calculation that they are taken out of our hands. As a result, our future members are promoted out of mere mechanical activities and the technicians remain where they are most valuable. Such is the philosophy behind the success of the Bunglerati.”

“Yes of course, I understand,” Sir Keir says.

“There is of course,” Smith goes on, “a great deal of subtle calculation in every one of our apparent failures, an absolute necessity to read the current game with superfine judgement, to calculate the correct level and necessary adjustments of what is commonly but erroneously referred to as responsibility.”

“Responsibility which is never mine,” Sir Keir interjects.

“Quite, responsibility which is never yours.” Smith strokes his chin for a moment.

“I make sure of that every time,” Sir Keir adds.

"Indeed you do, every single time." Smith stirs his coffee then adds “we have two problems here, Sir Keir. We of the Bunglerati presumed you would foresee and avoid them both.”

“Problems?”

“You seem puzzled,” Smith says.

“I am.”

“Yes, you would be.” Smith rises and glances at his watch. “We may be in touch again, Sir Keir and we may not. You are a very busy man.”

“Yes I am – very busy.”

“Indeed you are.” Smith pulls on his gloves and leaves the café.

Sunday, 8 December 2024

In search of forgotten heroes



Alexander Chula has a very interesting Critic piece on Bishop Charles Mackenzie.


In search of forgotten heroes

The Church has consigned to oblivion those who risked all to end the slave trade

The grave was buried in dry silt and foliage, and it took an hour of hacking and digging in the stifling midday heat before steel chinked on stone. Slowly, amidst the clatter of hoes and machetes, six pillars emerged from the earth. The grave revealed, our excavation party set down their tools to say the Lord’s Prayer in Chichewa, the dust still hanging round them in the windless air.

We were in Mozambique, at the confluence of the Ruo and Shire rivers just across the border from Malawi. We had set off before dawn, travelling by dugout canoe along a stretch of water busy with crocodiles and known locally as Mtayamoyo — the place where you lose your life.

Here, on 31 January 1862, Charles Mackenzie lost his. The last warrior bishop of the Anglican Church, Mackenzie died horribly of blackwater fever whilst leading a campaign against slavery which has been consigned to oblivion in Britain, but deserves to be remembered as amongst our greatest moral crusades.


The whole piece is well worth reading, especially comments by Justin Welby as archbishop of Canterbury.


Earlier this year Justin Welby, as archbishop of Canterbury, gave a sermon in Zanzibar but chose to emphasise the faults of the early missionaries over their achievements and sacrifices. “They did not change their attitudes,” he averred. “They treated Africans as inferior.”

I am curious to know who exactly the former Archbishop had in mind. Mackenzie’s successors gave everything they had to the region, and their graves litter Malawi, still venerated today. They committed to sharing the lives of local peoples and — as I argue in my recent book (Goodbye, Dr Banda) — approached their cultures with a curiosity and respect seldom matched by Western visitors today. The imputation that they treated Africans as inferior dishonours men who died precisely because they considered Africans as worthy of that sacrifice as anyone else.


Nobody inside the suit



There is will in thought, there is none in dreams. Revery, which is utterly spontaneous, takes and keeps, even in the gigantic and the ideal, the form of our spirit. Nothing proceeds more directly and more sincerely from the very depth of our soul, than our unpremeditated and boundless aspirations towards the splendors of destiny. In these aspirations, much more than in deliberate, rational coordinated ideas, is the real character of a man to be found. Our chimeras are the things which the most resemble us. Each one of us dreams of the unknown and the impossible in accordance with his nature.

Victor Hugo - Les Misérables (1862)


Our chimeras are the things which the most resemble us. We know this too well when a chimera is an ideology.

This is what sceptics seem to dislike about ideology, it is possible for an ideology to become a largely ineradicable aspect of a personality. A chunk of personality goes missing, the chunk which would have allowed an ideologue to have a conversation within the domain of the ideology, but that domain now lies elsewhere, beyond the person, beyond their ability to have such a conversation.

To my mind this is why Keir Starmer seems to have no personality. His chimeras are all there is, nothing left, nobody inside the suit.

Saturday, 7 December 2024

The ad problem

 

Then there's the BBC



BBC's Christmas comedy crisis: Why festive TV line-ups are losing their charm


We live in strange times. We're supposed to believe that a car dressed in a doily is award-winning art. That unrecognisable perma-pouting nonentities and auto-tuned wannabes are unmissable talents. And that each fresh crop of bungling political pygmies know what they're doing. Then there's the BBC. Is it still fit for purpose? Or is Britain's senior broadcaster, in the words Sir Keir Starmer used to describe the civil service, comfortable in the tepid bath of managed decline?..

Christmas TV used to feel special, thanks to a long, distinguished list of comedians and comedies that encompasses Morecambe & Wise, The Two Ronnies, Only Fools & Horses, One Foot In The Grave, The Stanley Baxter Show, The Royle Family...and many more.

Sadly, this year's Yuletide line-up comes with a distinct whiff of "Will this do?"



Then there's the BBC. Is it still fit for purpose? No - obviously not and this has been the case for several decades.
 
Festive TV lost its charm many years ago, but Keir Starmer appears to have no intention of allowing the BBC to fade away in the tepid bath of managed decline. Taxpayer-supported state broadcaster is far more likely, possibly something even more grand, although his fresh crop of bungling political pygmies could even bungle that. Let us hope so.

Silent Night



A quiet Storm Darragh night in our bit of Derbyshire, although we're well away from the worst of it. Wind noise generally disturbs my sleep, but last night I couldn't hear it at all, maybe a faint murmur once or twice. Based on previous experience, our forecast gust speed was out by at least 10-15mph unless I'm acquiring overnight deafness.

It's forecast to be equally windy here over the next 30 hours, so maybe we'll see more forecast accuracy. Even some flying pigs.

Friday, 6 December 2024

Of great age



An interesting investigation into an obscure snippet of eighteenth century life.

Meanwhile...



While our media worry about important stuff such as Greg Wallace and a cookery programme, MercoPress has a reminder that Houthi attacks along the Red Sea have not ceased. 

Maybe Starmer has it as one of his "milestones" and David Lammy is busy working on it.


Western military pressure has been unable to stop Houthis attacks along the Red Sea, IISS report

The Houthis are growing in strength and trade through the Red Sea is declining despite ongoing international military pressure on the rebel group, a study has warned. The report from the International Institute for Strategic Studies (IISS) said missions such as Operation Prosperity Guardian, Operation Poseidon Archer and EUNAVFOR Aspides had made little impact.

The paper, called Navigating Troubled Waters: The Houthis' Campaign in the Red Sea and the Gulf of Aden, said military strikes had only temporarily disrupted the group's capabilities...

The question remains, why haven't the Houthis been weakened? The IISS report highlights several factors explaining the Houthis' resilience despite sustained international military pressure: Terrain and concealment, Iranian support, Evolving tactics, refining targeting criteria and weapons system; The use of low-cost, high-impact weapons, such as UAVs and uncrewed surface vessels, places disproportionate strain on the expensive defensive systems of their adversaries, and finally, international operations, including Operation Prosperity Guardian and EUNAVFOR Aspides, are primarily naval and lack ground components, limiting their ability to neutralize Houthi positions or disrupt supply chains.

Brain rot and toilet videos



Michael Cook has a timely Mercator piece on the Pope's antidote to brain rot caused by excessive use of social media.


The Pope has an antidote to ‘brain rot’

The Oxford English Dictionary has selected “brain rot” as its word of the year. As the Christmas holidays approach, other dictionaries and publications have nominated their own neologisms. The Collins English Dictionary chose “brat”, which Kamala Harris was apparently. I still don’t know what it means. The Macquarie Dictionary, the leading Australian dictionary, chose “enshittification”, which confirms British stereotypes about Aussie yobbos. The Economist chose “kakistocracy’, the rule of the worst, which, it says, fits President Trump’s cabinet nominees.

The others will fade, but brain rot is here to stay. It refers to the intellectual decay caused by overuse of social media, video gaming, doom-scrolling, zombie-scrolling, and so on. If you want to research the area further, check out the fabulously popular Skibidi Toilet videos, about animated toilets with talking heads trying to take over the world.


Not the the Pope is a sound guide to modern fads and fashions, but the whole piece is worth reading as we contemplate rather obvious cases of brain rot in our governing class. Or ethical rot, it isn't always easy to spot the difference.


After his reflections on literature earlier this year, the Pope turned to the study of history. Again, he emphasised the need for depth – we study history not to accumulate facts for trivial pursuit but to know ourselves and our societies better.

He introduces a useful distinction. Internet brain rot is diachronic or horizontal– concerned only with the here and now. But the human spirit needs to be synchronic, vertical, – looking to the past and the future. “No one can truly know their deepest identity, or what they wish to be in the future, without attending to the bonds that link them to preceding generations,” he writes.

Essentially Pope Francis is saying that control of smartphones is a moral crisis. If we fail to help the emerging generation conquer brain rot, we will have a lot to answer for. Society will be run by post-literate morons who grew up watching Skibidi Toilet videos.

Thursday, 5 December 2024

The Guardian Fled X Because...

 

The march of the public health puritans



Two days ago Christopher Snowdon published a useful Critic piece on the latest manifestation of what seems like an endless stream of official hectoring over the food we eat.


Food for thoughtlessness

The march of the public health puritans continues

Misleading the public until the bitter end, the Department of Health and Social Care issued a press release this morning confirming that “junk food adverts” will be banned on TV before 9pm and online 24/7 from next October. It used the legally meaningless phrase “junk food” five times.

Junk food is in the eye of the beholder, but is obviously pejorative. That is why politicians and “public health” lobbyists use it. If they abandoned the weasel words and told us what is actually being prohibited, even natural allies of the nanny state might conclude that the advertising ban — which goes far beyond anything introduced elsewhere in the world — is a bit excessive.



The whole piece is well worth reading as these tedious assaults on our personal independence tend to drop out of the headlines as soon as some other insanity pops up.


We are only five months into a Labour government and already we have legislation going through parliament for tobacco prohibition, a ban on disposable vapes, a vape tax, an e-cigarette advertising ban, and a ban on advertisements for everyday food products. For those of us who believe in personal liberty and free markets, it is a depressing time to be alive. We can only hope that the pace of authoritarian government meddling slows down once Keir Starmer has implemented all the policies left over from the Rishi Sunak regime.

The five missions



Starmer promises his ‘plan for change’ will improve people’s lives

The Prime Minister has promised a “relentless focus on delivering for working people” ahead of a major speech setting out targets to measure progress on his Government’s plans.

Under the “plan for change”, the Government will promise a named, contactable police officer for every neighbourhood in England and Wales.

The speech on Thursday has been billed as setting out the “next phase” of Sir Keir’s administration, detailing the “milestones” for achieving the five missions laid out in Labour’s election manifesto.


Starmer does set himself up, as if he's taking advice from someone who wishes to undermine him. If he speaks of a 'plan for change' then his departure is the obvious image it must create even among the few who still listen to him.

Nobody cares about 'five missions, a 'relentless focus', a 'plan for change' or 'milestones'. It's evasive waffle and even after such a short time we know it's the best he can do - evasive waffle. 

Wednesday, 4 December 2024

For anyone who misses the wireless

 


















For those who haven't come across it, Simon Stanhope's YouTube channel has lots of very well narrated stories. 

From the channel description -

This channel celebrates classic English short stories, in particular the mystery and suspense stories which were a staple of the popular periodicals of the Victorian and Edwardian eras.

Net Zero personal transport

 

A sign of desperation



Harry Phibbs has a useful CAPX piece about our desperately poor UK Labour government. So poor that it is something of a mystery.


Starmer’s reset is a sign of desperation

  • Labour's ministers already come across as hunted and downtrodden
  • This week brings the ultimate signal of government malaise: a relaunch
  • Without a coherent set of beliefs, any Government is likely to flounder

This is a young Government. Labour have only been in power for five months. Yet already it has a tired, worn out feel about it. There is a sense of drift and pessimism. Every couple of days, a new sleaze scandal appears in the media.

This should be the phase when ministers are swanking and swaggering on the airwaves, basking in the limelight, confidently proclaiming the progress they are making for the brave new world. Yet do they come across as enjoying themselves? They do not. They come across as hunted and downtrodden. If they admit the Government is doing badly, that would be a gaffe, a story, a pit: ‘Minister breaks ranks…’ Yet if they insist the Government is doing well, that is so absurd a claim as to invite ridicule. So they try to say as little as possible. The Prime Minister engages in the displacement activity of constant foreign travel.


Quite short and familiar but the whole piece is well worth reading because this government is so remarkably inept and bereft of ideas. Phibbs is right, the latest reset is a sign of desperation - after only five months. To my mind it suggests a lack of talent far more damaging than outsiders might have supposed before the election. Useless we might have expected, but not this useless.

There is no need to bother with rumours in order to see that there is something very seriously amiss with the man at the top - Sir Keir Starmer.


Consider the contrast after Margaret Thatcher had been Prime Minister for five months. That took us to October 1979. That month, exchange controls were abolished – a radical change that transformed us into an open economy that faced the world with confidence. The end of July 1979 had seen controls on the dividends companies could pay abolished. Price controls were lifted and the Price Commission abolished. Wage controls were also scrapped. The Budget on 12 June 1979 cut the top rate of income tax from 83% to 60%. The Queen’s Speech on 15 May announced legislation that would give council tenants the right to buy their homes.

Tuesday, 3 December 2024

The heart of the matter



The EU-Mercosur trade deal still seems to be causing a degree of friction after only 25 years of negotiation, but nobody has ever accused the EU of being precipitate. 

According to Bing AI -

The negotiations between the European Union (EU) and the Mercosur trading bloc officially began in 1999. After numerous challenges and interruptions, a major political agreement was finally reached in June 2019, marking about 20 years of negotiations. The process has been lengthy and complex, involving many rounds of talks and a wide range of issues.


France will oppose the Mercosur treaty right until the end

Paris risks an embarrassing defeat this week, just as its government faces possible censure and collapse. But this won’t be the end of the saga.



Nationwide protests against EU-Mercosur deal start in Poland.

Protests organised by Polish farmers in opposition to the European Union's Mercosur agreement, the Green Deal and recent regulations concerning animal rights, have begun on Tuesday.


Former Uruguayan President José “Pepe” Mujica has described the core problem in simple terms which was probably obvious 25 years ago, but it does seem to go to the heart of the matter.

Regarding the stalled Mercosur-EU trade agreement, Mujica blamed resistance from European agricultural sectors, particularly in France. “They can’t compete with Mercosur,” he said, dismissing environmental and social concerns as pretexts for protecting local markets.

Pardon



House Democrat suggests making it illegal for presidents to pardon family members

Connolly, who currently sits on the House Oversight committee, said he understood the president's decision as a parent, but that presidents should not be allowed to pardon their own family members.

Biden claimed that his son was unfairly targeted and prosecuted, and granted a full pardon for Hunter Biden for all crimes committed between 2014 and 2024. The blanket pardon means the first son cannot be prosecuted or sentenced for his tax charges, his federal gun charge, or any possible crime he committed while on the board of Burisma.



It certainly doesn't look good, but maybe old Joe wishes to go down in history by attaching some kind of notable achievement to the Biden name. He's done that. 

Apparently the Democrats aren't so keen on his bid to be even more memorable than he is already. It's not difficult to see why that might be. 

Too Many Sirs



Sir Chris Wormald confirmed as UK’s new top civil servant

Sir Chris Wormald has been appointed Cabinet Secretary, becoming the UK’s top civil servant and the Prime Minister’s most senior policy adviser.

The current permanent secretary of the Department for Health and Social Care succeeds Simon Case, who is stepping down at the end of the year on health grounds after four years in the role.



I've been wondering why I find the moniker "Sir Chris Wormald" vaguely unsatisfactory for a bod at the top of Tottering Castle (UK). Is there a touch of nominative determinism in the air? Something to do with Wormald and Civil Service worms?

Nope, I think it's the prospect of another "Sir" steering their Blob towards our disaster.

Monday, 2 December 2024

Quick - change the targets



Starmer ‘sidelines’ flagship pledge to make Britain fastest-growing nation in G7

Sir Keir Starmer will “sideline” his flagship pledge to make the UK the fastest-growing economy in the G7 this week when he unveils new targets to make British people richer.

The Prime Minister’s pre-election promise is already under threat, with the US economy growing twice as quickly as the UK and a tax-hiking Budget lowering medium-term forecasts.

This week, as part of a new “Plan for Change”, Sir Keir will reveal different economic targets aimed at improving living standards by the next general election.


Hmm - economic targets aimed at improving living standards by the next general election eh? Here are a few suggestions, although it's really too easy.

Reduce taxation.
Acknowledge the crucial role of the private sector. 
Reduce immigration to achieve a closer match between house building and population.
No hurty words policing.
Halve university intake.
Make the BBC subscription only.
Ditch Net Zero.
Ditch Ed Miliband.
BBC goes to subscription only in 2025.
Genuine reform of the NHS.
First world roads without potholes.  
Rachel Reeves sacked.
Keir Starmer resigns.

Missing Parts



North Korean teams hunt for advanced military parts abroad

The components in question are crucial for North Korea to enhance its military capabilities but exceed its current technical manufacturing abilities

North Korea dispatched technical teams to Dandong, China and major Russian cities in early November to procure advanced military components like electronic parts and miniature semiconductors that are banned under international sanctions. The roughly ten-person teams from North Korea’s Academy of National Defense Science aim to acquire technology beyond North Korea’s domestic production capabilities.



Hmm, any outside observer is bound to wonder about the likelihood of Chinese suppliers selling genuine parts to those North Korean teams.

Should any team return to North Korea with fake parts, they aren't going back to China to complain, not after Kim Jong Un has been really cross with them.

Sunday, 1 December 2024

Not the full Penny

 

Agreeing with Diane feels strange



Labour civil war as Diane Abbott slams Keir Starmer's ‘poor judgement' on winter fuel cuts

Labour's Diane Abbott has lashed out at party leader Sir Keir Starmer live on television as she berated his "poor judgement" in accepting freebies and cutting winter fuel payments.


Yes Diane is right, it was poor political judgement. Everyone but Starmer and Reeves knows that, and even Reeves may have worked it out by now. Starmer doesn't seem to work anything out, just looks for rules and precedents. 

Sir Keir Havisham


     


















As we contemplate Keir Starmer and his Cabinet rabble, what comes to mind? Probably many impolite descriptions considerably worse than the word ‘rabble’, but how about ‘antiquated’?

That would be the antiquated, unidirectional mode of government where those at the top dictate to those further down the social scale. We’re familiar with unidirectional government. Yet since the internet became a significantly bidirectional means of communication, rigidly top down government begins to seem curiously antiquated.

As if cobwebs hang festooned above the Cabinet table and the persistent dust of time settles gently on the heads of nodding Cabinet members. Metaphorical dust and decay pervade even their most enthusiastic deliberations and there aren’t many of those. 

Like Miss Havisham in Charles Dickens’ Great Expectations, Sir Keir Starmer presides over lost expectations and the visible decay of intellectual authority conferred on itself by authority.

Anyone with the time and the inclination to browse the internet, and this must be the majority of the population, knows about its bidirectional aspect. Watch a video, browse social media, scan favoured news channels, leave a comment or a ‘like’, subscribe or don’t subscribe or put your own material, opinions, likes, ideas, parodies or eccentricities out there.

By comparison, legacy media outlets are creaking antiques, still clinging to the old unidirectional ways, as are our political parties and governments. In an interesting sense, the internet is intelligent, it responds to questions, offers alternative sources, answers or possibilities.

Compare this to Keir Starmer’s Cabinet, his world of cobwebbed rules, legalistic dust and a crabbed, antiquated faith in laws, lies and spiteful deception.

Saturday, 30 November 2024

Rocks with drawings



9,000-year-old rock sketches proves early humans knew all about dinosaurs

Researchers made an extraordinary discovery of 9,000-year-old rocks with drawings etched into them, positioned next to footprints believed to belong to dinosaurs from the Cretaceous Period around 66 million years ago.

The drawings, known as petroglyphs, were found in the agricultural site Serrote do Letreiro in Paraíba, Eastern Brazil.


Okay it's the Indy, so not to be taken too seriously on any subject without checking sources. Those petroglyphs clearly mean something like -

Need bigger spears.

Or

You catch it, I'll cook it.

Not an ultra-rare Grauniad piece though



Vote on assisted dying summons ultra-rare Commons sight: intelligent debate

The emotion on display during five hours of heated discussion speaks to the complexity and importance of the bill itself

This was the Labour backbencher Kim Leadbeater’s bill so she got to talk first. Horror stories of people dying agonising deaths – deaths that no one would wish on their worst enemies. Jennie the guide dog snoozed in an aisle. Her dreams untroubled. She knew that when the time comes, her end will be painless and swift. Even if not of her conscious choosing.



Although there are good arguments on both sides, it's not a complex issue, the main point for each side may be stated in a single paragraph. However it is an opportunity to air a cascade of emotional anecdotes and imaginary scenarios. Political actors and comfort-zone media such as the Grauniad love all that. 


The independent Adnan Hussain thought we had already started assisted dying by removing the winter fuel allowance. For the only time in the debate, cries of “shame” were heard.


Of course they cried "shame" - what a spoilsport.

Friday, 29 November 2024

The shock of contemplating a totalitarian Britain



Dr Campbell Campbell-Jack has a timely TCW piece on the decline of free speech in Britain.


Surveillance Britain and the war on free speech

MANY of the great anti-totalitarian novels of our times have been written by British writers and set in the United Kingdom. George Orwell’s Nineteen Eighty-Four and Animal Farm, and Aldous Huxley’s Brave New World stand out on any list. Anthony Burgess’s A Clockwork Orange deserves mention, as do Jasper Fforde’s Shades of Grey and the graphic novel V for Vendetta by Alan Moore and David Lloyd. We can all make our own lists, but the real question is: Why do so many dystopian and anti-totalitarian novels come out of the UK, a liberal democracy?

It is possibly because Britain has been a liberal democracy and the shock of contemplating a totalitarian Britain has greater impact than if the novel was set in one of our continental neighbours who have experienced actual and terrifying totalitarianism. Curbs on free speech and the restriction of public expression of political and social opinions would seem especially horrific if they happened in staid, cosy old Britain; we don’t do that sort of thing here. Or do we?


The whole piece is well worth reading, even if it is a reminder of what we already know, such as this paragraph -  


The last Conservative government set in motion legislation under which universities, colleges and student unions could be sanctioned for failing to protect freedom of speech. A mere fortnight after coming into power and a week before it was due to come into effect the Labour government, without any parliamentary debate, paused this legislation which protected academic freedom. The priorities of the Starmer government are clear.


Say it while you still can seems to be the message. The situation won't improve under Labour, with or without the odious Starmer.

Money For Nothing

 

When more means worse



Bernard Levin once wrote a piece in The Times about the expansion of university education and how more students would lead to lower standards. 

It seemed obvious enough at the time, but even Levin probably didn’t foresee what form a lowering of standards could take. He assumed quite reasonably, that a university degree would have to become easier, with less to learn, fewer complexities to absorb and so on.

Perhaps this is what has happened, yet we have seen another mechanism for lowering standards - frame everything within what we now call woke ideology. Make the right answer into the morally, socially, egalitarian, non-racist right answer. Frame everything within this easily learned political context.

A familiar consequence is that we have ended up with subjects from science to history to English to art encased in a varying but apparently widespread woke framework of climate change, sustainability, equality, decolonisation and identity politics. Everything linked by single, simple egalitarian framework.

This seems to be one of the ways by which Levin’s lower standards are now being achieved, a simplifying narrative framework suited to all subjects in and beyond formal education. It seems to be why an obvious fool such as Ed Miliband feels competent enough to pontificate about climate change. His version is easy to learn, easy to apply, and useful for life beyond the restrictions of veracity.

Thursday, 28 November 2024

Not at all horrifying prediction



Warning as scientists make horrifying prediction as 30m people could die of brutal cause

A group of scientists have raised an alarm about how the climate change is going to take lives of 30m people by 2100.

Dr Andrea Pozzer, group leader, said: "In 2000, around 1.6 million people died each year due to extreme temperatures, both cold and heat. By the end of the century, in the most probable scenario, this figure climbs to 10.8 million, roughly a seven-fold increase.

"For air pollution, annual deaths in 2000 were about 4.1 million. By the century's close, this number rises to 19.5 million, a five-fold increase."



Embarrassingly obvious questions -

How many people will check these predictions in 2100?

How many of those who made the prediction will still be in a position to defend them after 76 years?

Embarrassingly obvious responses -

Where do they find these people?

Is it coffee time yet?

When science is irrelevant



A few days ago, Richard Lindzen published an American Mind piece on the political movement we know as climate change.


Manufacturing Consensus on Climate Change

How a political movement invented its own scientific basis.

Modern political movements have not infrequently laid claim to being based in science, from immigration restriction and eugenics (in the U.S. after WWI), to antisemitism and race ideology (in Hitler’s Germany), to Communism and Lysenkoism (under Stalin). Each of these falsely invoked a scientific consensus that convinced highly educated citizens, who were nonetheless ignorant of science, to set aside the anxieties associated with their ignorance. Since all scientists supposedly agreed, there was no need for them to understand the science.

Of course, this version of “the science” is the opposite of science itself. Science is a mode of inquiry rather than a source of authority. However, the success that science achieves has earned it a measure of authority in the public’s mind. This is what politicians frequently envy and exploit.

The climate panic fits into this same pattern and, as in all the preceding cases, science is in fact irrelevant. At best, it is a distraction which has led many of us to focus on the numerous misrepresentations of science entailed in what was purely a political movement.



The whole piece is well worth reading as a reminder that the climate change movement is as Lindzen says, a purely political movement. Those who do not understand the science have no great need to understand it, there are many other clues to the nature of the beast -


Of course, the attraction of power is not the only thing motivating politicians. The ability to award trillions of dollars to reorient our energy sector means that there are recipients of these trillions of dollars. These recipients must share just a few percentage points of these trillions of dollars to support the campaigns of these politicians for many election cycles and guarantee the support of these politicians for the policies associated with the reorientation.

Eyesight dulling weather



Met Office issues urgent 10-hour yellow warning for fog - 'avoid travel'

Drivers are being warned of difficult driving conditions overnight and for rush-hour in the morning (Thursday) as the Met Office issue multiple yellow warnings for fog.

The autumnal weather phenomenon is blanketing vast areas of the country overnight from Belfast to Berkshire, and covering parts of Wales, Northern Ireland and England.

In all yellow warnings for the eyesight dulling weather have been issued for six regions of the UK.



Eyesight dulling weather eh? An urgent warning too. I look back fondly on those long-gone days when urgent wasn't the normal state of affairs. May as well go along with it now urgent means nothing much, although it does seem to mean "I don't want to be fobbed off" when phoning the GP.

The Met Office could push the urgent button a little harder by giving names to this new eyesight dulling phenomenon. It's probably caused by climate change so we urgently need to ban something like open fires in case pensioners don't freeze in winter.

We recently had storm Bert so why not press on urgently, begin with the first letter of the alphabet and call this one Fog Angela?

Wednesday, 27 November 2024

Get involved with AI says Starmer



Starmer encourages young people to get involved in AI ‘revolution’

The Prime Minister has encouraged young people to get involved with AI, saying the world is in the “foothills of a revolution”.

I wonder if he means this kind of involvement -


The possibilities are endless



EU to focus on ‘decarbonisation’ to become competitive with US, China

The European Union will focus on the “decarbonisation” of its economy in an effort to make itself competitive with the US and China, the bloc’s top civil servant European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen has said.

“We are roughly as good as the US at creating start-ups. But when it comes to scale-ups, we are doing much worse than our competitors,” she claimed.

“A start-up from California can expand and raise money all across the United States. But a start-up in Europe has to deal with 27 different national barriers. We need to make it easier to grow in Europe.”

Von der Leyen said her decision to appoint a new Commissioner for Start-Ups, Research and Innovation was evidence that the bloc would soon make progress on the issue.



The word 'evidence' in the last quoted sentence has entertainment value all of its own, apart from the overall fantasy. Why not appoint a new Commissioner for Doing Better Than the US and China? That would be evidence of something too.

The possibilities are endless. A new Commissioner for Doing Nothing Proposed by Ursula von der Leyen for example.

Nemesis casts her cold eye on the Great Leap Backwards



Labour poised to water down electric car rules amid crisis in industry

Jonathan Reynolds, the Business Secretary, on Tuesday night confirmed a review of the Government’s zero emission vehicle (ZEV) mandate after warnings from carmakers that the rules were putting the industry’s future at risk.

Mr Reynolds told bosses at an industry dinner on Tuesday that the Government will announce a fast-track consultation on changes to its ZEV mandate, which requires an ever-greater percentage of manufacturers’ sales to be electric over the next six years.

He said: “We are absolutely committed to our manifesto commitment of a 2030 phase-out for new cars powered solely by internal combustion engines. We are not changing our level of ambition for the transition, and there will be no repeat of the uncertainty generated by the previous administration.

“But at the same time, the Transport Secretary and I have heard you loud and clear on the need for support to make this transition a success, and that’s why we will be consulting with you on changes to the same mandate and inviting your views on options for a better way forward.”



And it is probable that Nemesis at that precise moment licked her dry lips. "Fun!" thought Nemesis.

E. F. Benson - Lucia In London (1927)

Tuesday, 26 November 2024

Hard-wired to believe



Harry Phibbs has a useful CAPX piece on Labour’s latest employment gimmicks.


Labour’s gimmicks won’t get Britain working again

  • The cost of sickness payments will soon top £100 billion a year
  • After 14 years in opposition, Labour do not have a credible plan to tackle worklessness
  • There is no better tonic for poor mental health than satisfying work

With all the technological and medical advances we keep seeing, this should be a glorious era where all barriers to work are demolished. To a modest extent, we have seen this with people continuing to work as they get older. Men in the UK used to retire at 65 – finally eligible for a state pension after decades of physical drudgery. Eligibility for the state pension is now 66 and is due to rise to 67 between 2026 and 2028, and to 68 between 2044 and 2046. It should be raised further and faster to avoid the country going broke. But we also have millions continuing to do work of some kind or another past the official retirement age.


The whole piece is well worth reading as a reminder of Labour's ideological unfitness for government. The party belongs in another age, not this one, and no amount of rhetoric can disguise it.


Labour are hard-wired to believe that a compassionate approach means an ever bigger role for the state with an ever more generous offer of benefits. They don’t really believe in the moral case for personal responsibility. Their instinct is to ‘protect’ people from work and being ‘exploited’ by business. But nothing could be a better tonic for our mental health than the pride of independence, of making a contribution to the needs of others rather than being a supplicant of the bureaucratic leviathan. What better boost to self-esteem and cure for loneliness and depression than the shared endeavour of wealth creation? Of the appreciation of satisfied customers, the teamwork of colleagues and the gratitude of the boss?

Game Over



Chancellor Rachel Reeves promises she will not raise taxes again

The chancellor insists there was no alternative to her policies, but says there will not be another budget like it.

There will be no more tax rises or borrowing for the duration of this government's term, Chancellor Rachel Reeves has said.



The personal credibility game is over for Rachel Reeves. She played the game, bungled it, failed to hide her lax standards of veracity and lost. For Rachel Reeves the political credibility game is over.

She may as well sing us some Christmas carols or recite poetry instead of making more promises.

Pool



The other day, Mrs H and I were discussing how common it is to hear that such and such a person has an unpleasant parent, wife, husband or whatever. Not people we know, but people we hear about just outside our social periphery. Ordinary people who are said to be habitually spiteful, mean, oafish, selfish or otherwise unpleasant to know.

Not a huge number of people when compared to the number of people we hear of as opposed to knowing them. People mentioned casually during social chat, slightly beyond the outer reaches of our social world.

It does suggest that the pool of ghastly people who see themselves as MPs or in government bossing other people around – well it may be quite a large pool.

Monday, 25 November 2024

Viewer drought



Humiliation for BBC as viewers of major £45m channel tune in for just 10 seconds

The BBC Scotland channel secured an audience share of just 0.12% of British TV viewers last month, with the average viewer spending just 10 seconds watching.

The standalone BBC Scotland channel has been struggling to attract viewers, with a mere 0.12% of British TV viewers tuning in during October. The average viewer reportedly spent just 10 seconds watching before switching channels, in the latest humiliation to the public broadcaster.



The numbers are here. For example, average daily minutes spent watching BBC News is reported to be 1 min 38 sec. Far too long in my view.

Tough but fair



Starmer rules out re-running general election as petition gathers signatures

Asked about the petition on ITV’s This Morning programme on Monday, Sir Keir said: “Look, I remind myself that very many people didn’t vote Labour at the last election.

“So, what my focus is on is the decisions that I have to make every day.”

He characterised decisions taken so far by his Government as “tough but fair”.


I don't know what the petition count is now, over two million when I last looked as Son and I chuckled over the speed of it. Only a gesture, but a successful one.

It's no good asking Starmer about it though. What matters now is the buzz behind his back, what his whispering colleagues say in the bar and what they think can be done about him as a political liability.

Clive Anderson - Peter Cook Interview

 

Sunday, 24 November 2024

Cop29 signs off vast amount of other people's money



Cop29 signs off $300bn climate deal after poorer nations stage walk-out

Cop29 ground out a last-minute compromise deal on Saturday night that offers at least $300 billion (£240 billion) per year by 2035 to help poorer countries confront global warming and allows China’s contributions to remain voluntary.

The sum demanded by the less wealthy nations had been much more following two weeks of negotiations in Azerbaijan’s Caspian Sea capital of Baku.



What are the greatest powers among men on this earth? Some will say the pen, or the sword, or love, or what not. Men of the world will say, money and lies; and they will be very nearly right.

Arthur Morrison – The Red Triangle (1903)