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Saturday 19 December 2020

Could be useful



The planned relaxation of Covid rules for Christmas has been scrapped for large parts of south-east England and cut to just Christmas Day for the rest of England, Scotland and Wales.

From midnight, a new tier four will be introduced in areas including London, Kent, Essex and Bedfordshire.

Elsewhere in England, Scotland and Wales, relaxed indoor mixing rules are cut from five days to Christmas Day...

Prime Minister Boris Johnson announced the changes for England at a Downing Street briefing after scientists said a new coronavirus variant is spreading more rapidly.

If this lockdown stops the spread of the new coronavirus variant we'll know lockdowns might work. Inconclusive of course, but it would be evidence. 

If the new variant continues to spread we'll have good evidence that even draconian lockdowns don't work so we can forget all about them. We know that anyway but it would be nice to have it confirmed. Could be useful. 
But probably not.

5 comments:

microdave said...

"A new coronavirus variant"

Which one are you referring to?

"In this work, we analysed a data set of >46,700 SARS-CoV-2 assemblies sampled across 99 different countries and all major continental regions. Across our data set, we identified a total of 12,706 mutations"

https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-020-19818-2

Man Beach said...

Lovely

Sam Vega said...

we'll have good evidence that even draconian lockdowns don't work so we can forget all about them. "

I don't think we'll have much say in it.

Ed P said...

One definition of insanity is continuing to repeat an act whilst expecting a different outcome. SAGE and lockdowns anyone?

A K Haart said...

microdave - it is supposedly a specific variant but I'm expecting some clarity to emerge outside the mainstream media. That's one of the frustrations - they constantly want us to swallow a mickey mouse version of what is going on.

Man Beach - probably not though.

Sam - neither do I. This aspect appears to be vastly important to them.

Ed - yes it is insane because it clearly doesn't work. Accept that and move on is where we ought to be by now.