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Saturday, 2 May 2026

The Precedent Phoenix

 


It's the May Day bank holiday weekend, so let's try to wangle a mythological angle -  

We navigate our way through life by avoiding surprises and our most important social navigation guides are precedents, something we learn from our earliest childhood.

Adopting fashionable ideas or any ideas endorsed by precedent minimises social surprises, we know it so well that it becomes automatic. With precedent as a guide it is easier to navigate our way through life this way, both socially, professionally and politically.

Rejecting fashionable ideas or going against important precedents is often a problem, socially, professionally and politically. Eyebrows are raised and maybe worse, including police officers knocking on the door.

It’s a major problem for realists – but not a surprise.

This ease of following precedent, its vital importance as a social lubricant is why we cannot trust politicians – ever. There is no realist route to political power until the pressures of reality become so acute that it resets the precedents and the old ones become obsolete.

Then the precedent phoenix rebuilds itself from the ashes of the old and realists are side-lined again.

5 comments:

James Higham said...

Or else "meet the new boss, same as the old boss".

A K Haart said...

James - I wouldn't want to miss out the phoenix though.

James Higham said...

Well, there is that I suppose.

DiscoveredJoys said...

"There is no realist route to political power until the pressures of reality become so acute that it resets the precedents and the old ones become obsolete."

See the UK as an example. The Conservatives have been ashed, Labour are next. It's an interesting question whether happy voters elect poor governments or poor governments result in happy (bribed) voters. Until the bribes are insufficient to offset reality of course.

But it takes some time for the Phoenix to rise again.

A K Haart said...

DJ - the problem may be the real value of the bribes, there is a selling your soul to Old Nick aspect creeping in now. The bribes are not what they seem to be and nowhere near the value of a soul.