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Thursday 16 April 2020

Has Testing Made the Problem Worse?



An interesting piece on coronavirus testing from off-Guardian.

Concerns about the virus SARS-COV-2 that causes the disease called COVID-19 have centered around reported mortality rates. However, errors in reporting those rates have led to confusion regarding the true health impacts. Because estimated rates are dependent on the test used to identify infected patients, understanding that test and its history could lead to much needed clarity...

The piece is quite technical but the gist of it is fairly straightforward - for example the criticism of CDC.

Unfortunately, the US decided to follow its own rules for testing of SARS-COV-2. In fact, WHO and CDC never discussed the U.S. using the same test as being done internationally. Investigators from The Scientist found that it was “not clear why the CDC chose to develop a different assay to that selected by the WHO and taken up by other countries. The CDC declined to respond to questions.”

The CDC was criticized for its decision and problems were later found with its test kits. Although CDC has been secretive about the details, the concerns with its test appear to have included both test design issues and contamination.

Well worth reading the whole thing, if only as a counterweight to the over-simplified and misleading messages on testing we see in the mainstream media.

2 comments:

James Higham said...

Especially when the testing was so off in reported cases - one does wonder.

A K Haart said...

James - yes one does wonder. Not much to inspire confidence so far.