Samuel Johnson's dictionary 3
rd edition published in 1766 defines 'design' as:-
To Design, v.
1. To purpose; to intend anything.
2. To form an order with a particular purpose.
3. To devote intentionally.
4. To plan; to project.
5. To mark out.
Computers have been used as design tools since the early days of discrete transistors. Rolls-Royce used computers to design turbine blades before they actually thought of using them to do payroll calculations.
Computer-based climate models are really imaginary climate
designs which have yet to be tested systematically in the real world. This is not so much a scientific issue as a question of language, but climate scientists tend to dive into the science before the terminology has been sorted. Yet the language is important and here, climate scientists are not the experts.
So referring to climate models as
models is misleading. Climate
designs is a better way to describe imaginary computer-based climates which haven't yet made it into the real world. Climate scientists may well be
designing climate models and that's fine, but we shouldn't omit the word
design - it's crucially important.
After all, these climate designs haven't even passed even the most rudimentary testing stage and climate scientists certainly cannot skip physical testing by comparing one design with another as if the whole process is akin to
Strictly Come Dancing. Yet it's what they are trying to do with their so-called
ensembles, another furtive misuse of language.
Yet it's all really obvious. If an imaginary computer-based climate
design makes a 30 year prediction, then that is it's main
design parameter, the physical test it must pass before it can be taken seriously as a climate model. In 30 years time it may pass the test and become a tested design or it will fail and become a failed design. Until then it is merely a design.
At the moment, computer-based climate designs are rather less real than Shrek, who at least seems to understands his own language.