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Monday, 4 May 2020

The mundane reality of life and death




There is a very useful post over at Hector Drummond’s blog. Conclusions are set out at the beginning which is also useful, but the whole piece is well worth reading for the way it establishes how overblown UK pandemic policy has been compared to the realities of life and death we have to live with anyway.

While we are on the subject of an overblown pandemic reaction, it may also be worth reminding ourselves that UK government policy for dealing with it is not an experiment. The pandemic cannot be run again under a different policy to compare with the current one.

In other words, even with the benefit of hindsight we will never be able to demonstrate that current lockdown policy was the best policy. Official sources and lockdown fans will claim otherwise but their claims will not be valid. We know that already.

2 comments:

Sam Vega said...

Got half way through the article, but gave up when I realised the summary was all I needed.

Not only can we not run it again, we can't even compare our response to other countries. Being an international travel hub must mean we had more initial outbreaks than, say, New Zealand, who are doing very well, at least in part because nobody goes there.

I hope that the NHS gets some of the criticism. The jewel in our crown might need to show why they do worse than less socialised systems, so some stats on comparative cure rates will come in handy. Somehow, though, I think it will be all Boris's fault. We are not yet in a position where we can criticise our national religion.

A K Haart said...

Sam - I hope the NHS gets some criticism too. It's about time we moved on from the monolithic monster. Seems unlikely at the moment though, because Boris, the Tories and the media have identified aligned themselves with the NHS very tightly. Maybe the mood will change.