Covid deaths probably three times higher than records say
More than 18 million people - three times higher than official records suggest - have probably died because of Covid, say researchers.
Their report comes two years to the day from when the World Health Organization first declared the pandemic.
The Covid-19 excess mortality team at the US's Washington University studied 191 countries and territories for what they call the true global death figure.
This is a response to the WTWT market or the Worse Than We Thought media market. Supply and demand working as it should.
On the other hand, deaths from all causes since Christmas in England and Wales have been below the five year average and that isn't worse than we thought. In other words this report has little or no WTWT value.
7 comments:
That first peak is the epidemic of Spring 2020. The second peak: was that a second wave or is it vaccine deaths (too early?) or both? After that I suppose all the "dry tinder" was dead.
To use their own level of accuracy - the report is probably total bollox.
What's going on when the Covid and non-Covid deaths both increase at the same time? Is there some underlying causal factor like cold weather which suits Covid and some of the other main viruses which cause death? The peaks don't come at the coldest times of the year.
Overall, to have more utility, that ONS graph needs another colour. One which represents "Deaths from Covid and from no other significant cause".
"What's going on when the Covid and non-Covid deaths both increase at the same time?"
It's probably just a reminder that diagnosing cause of death is a very approximate art even if it's being done honestly.
Pharma companies probably drew that graph about a year before the covids started to appear!
Black is white, war is peace, etc.
A just-published, properly-researched report shows a very different picture:
https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(21)02796-3/fulltext
dearieme - I don't know what the second peak is but there are a few possibilities. I'd be surprised if death certificates are sound enough for some solid conclusions.
Jannie - as I understand it, it's an ensemble of computer models.
Sam - it does need that additional colour. Maybe we'll see it eventually.
dearieme - yes, even in my limited experience it is very approximate.
Scrobs - Ferguson will have drawn quite a few.
Ed - as I understand it, the paper is based on an ensemble of computer models.
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