Happy New Year everyone.
For argument based on knowledge implies instruction, and there are people whom one cannot instruct - Aristotle
Thursday, 31 December 2015
Wednesday, 30 December 2015
Embarrassing video of 2015
Tuesday, 29 December 2015
The man in the high caste
While browsing thorium-related issues I came across this piece from India. 10 Areas In Which India Beats Even The Most Powerful Countries In The World.
Journalists are fond of silly lists so nothing new there. I skipped down to the comments and this one jumped out at me.
The EU came to mind. It isn't difficult to see it separating into castes.
Waste of time
Short walk today. Stopped off at the National Stone Centre.
Outside there is a small raised pool where kids can pretend to pan for gold. A
grandmother and grandchild approached.
“Oh look, war’aa,” said grandchild, skipping towards the
panning pool.
“It’s called water,” said granny, stressing the “t”.
Granny was probably wasting her time.
Monday, 28 December 2015
Quote of the year 2015
I've seen this quote from Christiana Figueres all over the place, but it's worth revisiting in case there is anyone left who thinks climate policies rely on science.
At a news conference last week in Brussels, Christiana Figueres, executive secretary of U.N.'s Framework Convention on Climate Change, admitted that the goal of environmental activists is not to save the world from ecological calamity but to destroy capitalism.
"This is the first time in the history of mankind that we are setting ourselves the task of intentionally, within a defined period of time, to change the economic development model that has been reigning for at least 150 years, since the Industrial Revolution," she said.
At a news conference last week in Brussels, Christiana Figueres, executive secretary of U.N.'s Framework Convention on Climate Change, admitted that the goal of environmental activists is not to save the world from ecological calamity but to destroy capitalism.
"This is the first time in the history of mankind that we are setting ourselves the task of intentionally, within a defined period of time, to change the economic development model that has been reigning for at least 150 years, since the Industrial Revolution," she said.
Sunday, 27 December 2015
The Suffragette Wall
It's a commonly repeated local story, but as for its plausibility I'm not so sure. Anyone reasonably active could scale the wall, especially with a little help or something to stand on. Suffragettes were surely resourceful enough, even if encumbered with those long Edwardian skirts.
Not only that, but the wall isn't particularly long and only protects a small section of the hall grounds. Those fearsome ladies could have strolled round it.
To my mind, a more likely possibility is that the story originated from somebody with suffragette sympathies who visited the hall. Somebody fashionably radical might drawl a simple observation such as "I suppose your wall was built to keep out the suffragettes." It becomes a family joke, the servants hear it and soon enough that's why the wall was built.
Or maybe the local suffragettes were really scary but not very tall or resourceful.
Or maybe the local suffragettes were really scary but not very tall or resourceful.
Saturday, 26 December 2015
Dork of the Year 2015
source |
The sheer number of candidates has made choosing Dork of the Year (DotY) particularly difficult
for 2015. Not that the problem is new because each year there seem to be even
more Qualifying Dorks than the year before. Yet in spite of these
difficulties and after much analytical deliberation, the DotY committee has come up with a
winner – Ed Miliband.
Ed has achieved this accolade partly because he is such an
obvious dork but primarily because he has not one, not two, but three Qualifying Dorkworthy
Achievements.
Firstly we have the Climate Change Act. On 16 October 2008 Ed Miliband as Secretary of State for Energy and Climate Change, announced that the Act would mandate an 80% cut overall in six greenhouse gases by 2050. Using UK law to
change the weather of the entire planet is an act of stupidity beyond adult comprehension. Perhaps that's the clue.
Secondly as leader of the Labour Party, Ed managed to secure
a clear general election victory for David Cameron, the leader of a coalition
government which never achieved popularity. How Ed managed this feat is a matter for historians of comic politics, but lose it he did.
Thirdly Ed changed the rules for choosing the next Labour
party leader. This final masterstroke allowed an infantile party membership plus quite a few mischief makers to elect Jeremy Corbyn as the new Labour leader.
So well played Ed – Dork of the Year 2015.
Wednesday, 23 December 2015
Walls
All men lead their
lives behind a wall of misunderstanding they themselves have built, and most:
men die in silence and unnoticed behind the walls. Now and then a man, cut off
from his fellows by the peculiarities of his nature, becomes absorbed in doing
something that is impersonal, useful, and beautiful.
Word of his activities
is carried over the walls. His name is shouted and is carried by the wind into
the tiny inclosure in which other men live and in which they are for the most
part absorbed in doing some petty task for the furtherance of their own
comfort. Men and women stop their complaining about the unfairness and
inequality of life and wonder about the man whose name they have heard.
Sherwood Anderson – Poor White (1920)
This was one of Anderson’s themes, our inability to scale
the walls of misunderstanding we ourselves have built. He saw it as an
ineradicable feature of human nature when faced with the flux of interests and
social convention in which we find ourselves so firmly enmeshed. Powerful
interests know it well and build more walls by fostering even more misunderstanding.
One might have supposed that Anderson’s view would become dated,
that the walls would be at least partly demolished by modern communication, but
it doesn’t appear to be so. If anything the situation is worse now that it was
almost a century ago because we have more powerful forces intent on building
walls designed to suit their interests.
As always the most pernicious walls are those between elite
classes and everyone else. David Cameron builds such walls, building them with
care from obfuscation, misdirection and endless petty dishonesties.
Rats and mazes come to mind, but who is the master builder?
Monday, 21 December 2015
The Ofsted inspection
A delightful story from regular commenter Sam Vega.
I had been assigned an inspector, and was giving him a preliminary guided tour. I was wearing my best suit and a professionally obsequious manner. We paused in the main reception hall. From out of nowhere, the biggest rat I have ever seen scuttled across the hall behind him, and paused about six feet away. Scaly tail, questing whiskers, and a very glossy coat; clearly well fed and confident.
The inspector picked up my surprise, and obviously wanted to turn round, but didn't, out of politeness. I continued my rehearsed lines about our wonderful new buildings and our stringent Health and Safety, while the bloody thing sat up on its haunches and did ratty things like scratching with its back foot and combing its whiskers with both paws.
It ambled off before he could see it. I sometimes wonder if it had been disgusted by what it saw us doing.
It ambled off before he could see it. I sometimes wonder if it had been disgusted by what it saw us doing.
Sunday, 20 December 2015
Elite scientists
Sackerson sent this interesting link about elite scientists and their tendency to retard the evolution of new ideas until they peg out.
Max Planck — the Nobel Prize–winning physicist who pioneered quantum theory — once said the following about scientific progress:
A new scientific truth does not triumph by convincing its opponents and making them see the light, but rather because its opponents eventually die, and a new generation grows up that is familiar with it.
Shorter: Science is not immune to interpersonal bullshit. Scientists can be stubborn. They can use their gravitas to steamroll new ideas. Which means those new ideas often only prevail when older scientists die.
Max Planck — the Nobel Prize–winning physicist who pioneered quantum theory — once said the following about scientific progress:
A new scientific truth does not triumph by convincing its opponents and making them see the light, but rather because its opponents eventually die, and a new generation grows up that is familiar with it.
Shorter: Science is not immune to interpersonal bullshit. Scientists can be stubborn. They can use their gravitas to steamroll new ideas. Which means those new ideas often only prevail when older scientists die.
The piece goes on to demonstrate the validity of this claim via patterns in published work. It comes as no surprise of
course. Scientists are human; they have families to support, mortgages to pay, status to earn and maintain.
To explain what is going on here we could adapt an idea from
Wittgenstein – the distinction between symptoms and criteria. Acolytes may present the
opinion of Celebrity Scientist as a criterion of valid science. Celebrity Scientist says X, therefore X must be scientifically valid. Celebrity Scientist has become a criterion of sound scientific opinion.
In reality Celebrity Scientist's opinion may not be a criterion of sound science at all. It may have been once upon a time, but perhaps other possibilities are emerging within Celebrity Scientist's field. Celebrity Scientist's opinion may have become a symptom of hierarchy, personal vanity and the inability to accept new thinking.
In reality Celebrity Scientist's opinion may not be a criterion of sound science at all. It may have been once upon a time, but perhaps other possibilities are emerging within Celebrity Scientist's field. Celebrity Scientist's opinion may have become a symptom of hierarchy, personal vanity and the inability to accept new thinking.
Confusing symptoms with criteria is very common. For
example, is an Ofsted report a criterion of educational excellence or a symptom
of educational malaise? Both perhaps. Symptoms and criteria are often mingled.
Gross Domestic Product (GDP) is another example. Widely
known to be a misleading metric, GDP could be seen as a symptom of political
mendacity rather than a criterion of economic health.
GDP purports to measure economic activity while largely divorcing itself from the quality, profitability, depth, breadth, improvement, advancement, and rationalization of goods and services provided.
UK general elections seem to have have become a symptom of democratic decline rather than a criterion of healthy democratic government. Which is why useful reform is unlikely.
GDP purports to measure economic activity while largely divorcing itself from the quality, profitability, depth, breadth, improvement, advancement, and rationalization of goods and services provided.
UK general elections seem to have have become a symptom of democratic decline rather than a criterion of healthy democratic government. Which is why useful reform is unlikely.
One could go on and on because elites often confuse symptoms with criteria. Even elite scientists may find
it useful once perched atop the greasy pole.
Saturday, 19 December 2015
Flippancy
One of the great changes over my lifetime has been the
spread of flippancy into every corner of life. There is hardly any subject
which cannot be treated flippantly and hardly any person who lacks the
capability to be flippant. It isn’t new but along with being conspicuously offended it seems
to be one of the great social trends of our age. Fortunately one cannot be
flippantly offended although many poseurs seem willing to give it a go.
I am often too flippant and almost all of my generation are
capable of being flippant in virtually any social situation. To my mind
television must shoulder most of the blame with its endless diet of comedy, light
entertainment and general dumbing down of everything it soils with its
attention. So what is the point in encouraging an entire population to be
flippant?
A clue seems to be the obvious link between flippant and
infantile behaviour. Acceptable flippancy has created a pervasive superficial miasma,
a semi-serious public domain where the infantile viewpoint is barely
distinguished from serious commentary. In other words it facilitates a
superficial take on even the weightiest matters because it is easy and
acceptable.
I’m certainly conscious of the problem with flippancy as a double edged sword. On the one hand it allows one to dismiss
hordes of poseurs, political worms, celebrities and other
assorted trash.
On the other hand it is not easy to take seriously those
genuinely malign trends which take away our freedoms brick by brick, stone by
stone.
Coming full circle one might also say that flippancy is an
enabler. It saves time and allows full rein to the bon mot, the flippant
dismissal which too often is all an issue deserves. So where does that leave us in the maze? The same place as
usual – nowhere - he mused flippantly.
Thursday, 17 December 2015
Watch
I've been looking for a new watch, but these are out of my league. I don't think I'd buy one even if I had the money. Impressive as a feat of micro-engineering, but so are the silicon chips inside a cheap quartz watch.
For example, I recently bought a new camera plus a 30Gb SD card. The SD card was just over a tenner and to my mind that's a much more amazing feat of engineering.
For example, I recently bought a new camera plus a 30Gb SD card. The SD card was just over a tenner and to my mind that's a much more amazing feat of engineering.
Wednesday, 16 December 2015
That’s a rat that is
I’ve been ill for a couple of weeks now, but I'm just about over
it. Nothing serious, but an apparently endless cough tends to depress
the vital forces somewhat. So what has this to do with rats?
It goes like this. Not so long ago while out walking we saw
a great big rat scuttle across the Cromford Canal towpath. Not an unusual sight
but unmistakable and that’s the point – rats are unambiguously ratty. That’s a rat that is.
Being mildly ill made me think of that rat because when a
chap muses away the day, certain things tend to pop through the mental haze with
enormous clarity. The more gloomy aspects of life can become stark and wonderfully clear. Not so much a case of enhanced
consciousness as having the time and inclination to dwell on these things. There is no need to
trawl around for suitable words because things are as they seem to be - that’s a rat that is.
The sheer wanton crappiness of the BBC for instance. The
humongous unbridgeable gulf dividing what the Beeb is from what it ought to be.
Considering the vast sums of moolah it has to spend, the iron grip it had for decades on UK mass media and the resources at its disposal, the BBC falls far short of where
it ought to be. As with rats, BBC deficiencies are unmistakable.
Cameron’s untrustworthy tactics on the EU referendum are the
obvious wriggling of a political spiv faced with the oafish intransigence of an
EU which doesn’t give a rat’s arse about the reform hole he managed to dig for
himself. He’ll get what he’s given and knows it. We know it too because the
whole unedifying game is as obvious as a big fat rat scuttling along the
political gutter.
It’s no mystery. Rats look like rats. As yet we haven’t been
conditioned to mistake their ratty nature by calling them something less uncompromisingly ratty. 'Sewer pixies' for example. No doubt if we’d been conditioned by politically correct
pressures to refer to rats as 'sewer pixies' we’d become horrified by the word 'rat'. Calling someone a rat could even become a hate crime to be tut tutted over
by the BBC, the Guardian and unattractive intellectuals with soft
hands and softer heads.
It probably is a hate crime already, but until I see a flashing
blue light through the curtains, Cameron is a rat, the BBC is full of them and
the EU is where they build their nests.
Tuesday, 15 December 2015
Kim's pants
No not that Kim, this one.
For those few hardy souls who wish to continue, DailyNK tells us about the fastidious habits of North Korean despot Kim Jong Un.
The source also conveyed to Daily NK the interesting tidbit that Kim Jong Un allegedly only "uses items once before throwing them in the trash and acquiring new ones." This includes everyday necessities such as towels, toothbrushes, and even underwear. Handling the items that have touched the leader’s skin directly is considered to be work of "the utmost delicacy."
“Mishandling such treasured items can result in being labeled a reactionary until the end of your days, which is why each item is incinerated immediately upon completed use,” he concluded.
Must be pretty grim... no I don't care to speculate further. I need a coffee with a tot of rum.
For those few hardy souls who wish to continue, DailyNK tells us about the fastidious habits of North Korean despot Kim Jong Un.
The source also conveyed to Daily NK the interesting tidbit that Kim Jong Un allegedly only "uses items once before throwing them in the trash and acquiring new ones." This includes everyday necessities such as towels, toothbrushes, and even underwear. Handling the items that have touched the leader’s skin directly is considered to be work of "the utmost delicacy."
“Mishandling such treasured items can result in being labeled a reactionary until the end of your days, which is why each item is incinerated immediately upon completed use,” he concluded.
Must be pretty grim... no I don't care to speculate further. I need a coffee with a tot of rum.
Monday, 14 December 2015
A bold mouse
Modern men and women
who live in industrial cities are like mice that have come out of the fields to
live in houses that do not belong to them.
Now and then a bold
mouse stands upon his hind legs and addresses the others. He declares he will
force his way through the walls and conquer the gods who have built the house.
"I will kill them," he declares. "The mice shall rule. You shall
live in the light and the warmth. There shall be food for all and no one shall
go hungry."
Sherwood Anderson – Poor White (1920)
Sunday, 13 December 2015
Seasonal sentiments
Source |
In a disorderly
haphazard world hatred is as effective an impulse to drive men forward to
success as love and high hope. It is a world-old impulse sleeping in the heart
of man since the day of Cain. In a way it rings true and strong above the
hideous jangle of modern life. Inspiring fear it usurps power.
As the season of goodwill is in the offing perhaps it is
time to dwell on the thorny issue of enemies. Who are they and do we loathe
them with sufficient venom?
I don’t think we do. Politics is all about identifying enemies and inventing laws, regulations and excuses to shaft them. It’s an unedifying spectacle, but when it comes to our own governments shafting the ordinary citizen we have to wonder why we keep ending up in the crosshairs. Are we the enemy?
I don’t think we do. Politics is all about identifying enemies and inventing laws, regulations and excuses to shaft them. It’s an unedifying spectacle, but when it comes to our own governments shafting the ordinary citizen we have to wonder why we keep ending up in the crosshairs. Are we the enemy?
Yes we are. Harming people is probably a survival trait,
especially if it can be done safely from behind a well fortified principle or political
class. Those who harm potential enemies reduce their ability to inflict harm even
if there is in reality no such intention. A key difference between democracies and totalitarian
regimes is how they treat their internal enemies - or citizens as they often call us.
Totalitarian - citizens can’t vote so they are shafted by
the elite.
Democracy - citizens can vote so they are shafted by the
elite.
However, there is an important difference. Democratic elites
realise they can shaft more deeply if their citizens are more prosperous.
Totalitarian elites are stupid and fail to realise the full shafting potential
of their citizens. So their elites have to be smaller and therefore more
precarious. North Korean elites probably have armed guards while they tuck into
a succulent dish of roast dog in case the delicious aroma sends the outside rabble
wild.
Elites generally see citizens as potential enemies, always
ready and willing to make elite lives less comfortable if allowed to do so - which
they very rarely are. So it no surprise if we find ourselves responding in kind
by hating the elite classes even when we pretend to be indulging in civilised
debate about the pros and cons of yet another ludicrously restrictive measure.
Come on! Christmas is almost upon us. Let us dwell for a
moment on the elite classes, the movers and shakers of this world. Let us take
this festive opportunity to admit how much we loathe the sight and sound of the lying bastards.
Saturday, 12 December 2015
The Paris agreement
The Paris COP21 draft agreement about which there will be endless disagreement is here. Read it if you have the stomach for it. After a preliminary scan I didn't bother although a reference to holding future global temperature increases to 1.5 °C is interesting.
Emphasizing with serious concern the urgent need to address the significant gap between the aggregate effect of Parties’ mitigation pledges in terms of global annual emissions of greenhouse gases by 2020 and aggregate emission pathways consistent with holding the increase in the global average temperature to well below 2 °C above preindustrial levels and pursuing efforts to limit the temperature increase to 1.5 °C.
You know what? I don't think they expect to see a dramatic and possibly not even a significant global temperature increase at all. They know the science is bollocks.
Emphasizing with serious concern the urgent need to address the significant gap between the aggregate effect of Parties’ mitigation pledges in terms of global annual emissions of greenhouse gases by 2020 and aggregate emission pathways consistent with holding the increase in the global average temperature to well below 2 °C above preindustrial levels and pursuing efforts to limit the temperature increase to 1.5 °C.
You know what? I don't think they expect to see a dramatic and possibly not even a significant global temperature increase at all. They know the science is bollocks.
Thursday, 10 December 2015
More on thorium
The ThorCon system is a modular off the shelf system which can be built by existing shipyards using automated ship-building technology.
The system uses thorium and uranium and is designed to be “walk-away safe”. If it goes wrong the liquid fuel falls harmlessly into a containment vessel. Nobody needs to shut it down, the laws of physics take care of things.
The system uses thorium and uranium and is designed to be “walk-away safe”. If it goes wrong the liquid fuel falls harmlessly into a containment vessel. Nobody needs to shut it down, the laws of physics take care of things.
The system is designed to be cheaper than coal.
Indonesia is already interested, but as ever we'll have to wait and see if ThorCon sinks or swims. There is no way we can usefully guess what new technologies will emerge over the next few decades but thorium seems promising. When will the world run out of thorium? These things are as much guesswork as anything, but 1000 years may be conservative.
Meanwhile here in high tech Britain we build windmills and convert power stations to burn wood. Presumably dried dung is our next big energy idea.
Indonesia is already interested, but as ever we'll have to wait and see if ThorCon sinks or swims. There is no way we can usefully guess what new technologies will emerge over the next few decades but thorium seems promising. When will the world run out of thorium? These things are as much guesswork as anything, but 1000 years may be conservative.
Meanwhile here in high tech Britain we build windmills and convert power stations to burn wood. Presumably dried dung is our next big energy idea.
Wednesday, 9 December 2015
New camera
As mentioned in the previous post I have a new camera, a Nikon S7000. It had to fit into my pocket while out walking and have a reasonable optical zoom without costing too much.
I haven't done much with it yet, but the above photo is a teal seen at Carsington Water taken on maximum zoom - 20x. Without the zoom it would have been a tiny brownish blob out on the mud. Not David Attenborough standard but I'm pleased with it. Here's a squirrel on the lawn, also at maximum zoom.
Submerged in little things
We go each of us
through the treadmill of our lives caught and caged like little animals in some
vast menagerie. In turn we love, marry, breed children, have our moments of
blind futile passion and then something happens. All unconsciously a change
creeps over us. Youth passes. We become shrewd, careful, submerged in little
things.
I intended to write something about Anderson’s words, but I
have to nip off to Sainsbury’s to recycle some batteries and pick up a few bits
and pieces. There are Christmas cards to write, a Mastercard statement to
check, info from our gas and electricity supplier, our Ramblers membership
renewal and I need some time to fiddle with my new camera to see what I can
do with it...
Tuesday, 8 December 2015
Spell-check for hate
The BBC reports
Technology companies should work on tools to disrupt terrorism - such as creating a hate speech "spell-checker" - Google's chairman Eric Schmidt has said.
Hardly a surprise, these things evolve in small steps. The form they eventually take is a matter of conjecture, but not particularly difficult conjecture. Terrorists today, grumpy old cynics tomorrow. If you have anything to say then say it now seems to be the message.
Technology companies should work on tools to disrupt terrorism - such as creating a hate speech "spell-checker" - Google's chairman Eric Schmidt has said.
Hardly a surprise, these things evolve in small steps. The form they eventually take is a matter of conjecture, but not particularly difficult conjecture. Terrorists today, grumpy old cynics tomorrow. If you have anything to say then say it now seems to be the message.
Monday, 7 December 2015
The EU and low-energy voters
We all seem to have a collection of comfort zones where
experiences are aligned not with the real world but with one of our comfort
zones. A comfort zone is where we go for our opinions, our world view and our
personal philosophy. It is much easier than brain work, just ask a Cabinet
Minister.
There are political zones, religious zones, family zones, comedy zones, sport zones, pub zones, employment zones, book zones,
environment zones, music zones, art zones, blog zones and so on and so on.
There are even imaginary comfort zones reserved for other people such as enemy zones, often
populated with imaginary people.
All these zones offer the subtle and strongly addictive comforts of
low-energy thinking. In return we give our allegiance to the zone together with its myths, stories, truths, lies, language, social benefits and important
ambiguities. In real life nobody actually has to do much brain work – it isn’t
compulsory. We all have the low-energy option of comfort zones.
If answers have already been supplied and accepted into a
comfort zone then not thinking is more efficient than thinking. This is how we would
expect our brains to work, efficiently. Brain work is work, the energy has to
come from somewhere. From a survival point of view we would expect our brains
to use as little energy as possible consistent with survival. This is how the
natural world works, through the path of least energy.
A great deal of human thought may be drivel, but if it is
low energy drivel, does not threaten survival and attracts a socially
significant consensus then the net survival effect may be strongly positive. Consensus
promotes social cohesion which in turn promotes survival.
So we may worship the most ludicrous gods, but if doing so
promotes social cohesion then the overall survival effect may be positive. In
which case it pays to worship the gods and explain the natural world through
their supposed actions. Even the most abject drivel can be socially effective by creating and
maintaining social bonds.
Our leaders have always understood the value of
low-energy drivel designed to appeal to low-energy voters. The pro-EU campaign for the UK’s forthcoming referendum will
rely on herding low-energy voters into what the EU has become, a low-energy comfort
zone. There is no real defence against it either. The low-energy voter was
bound to be the Achilles' heel of democracy.
Sunday, 6 December 2015
1916 Detroit Electric car
A century ago we already had practical electric commuter cars. From Wikipedia
I like this little car, it reminds me of an Amish buggy and a simpler, more rational life which was always within our grasp but we never grasped it.
Imagine a similar car made from modern materials used purely for shopping or commuting. For twenty years I commuted across Nottingham and only on a Sunday morning would I ever do better than an average speed of 20 mph. Usually it was well below.
Saturday, 5 December 2015
Christmas, pumpkins and climate
Much has been written about COP21, the latest climate
circus, but there is one aspect pointing to a less than desirable future as global processes bite into our freedoms.
COP21 will fail – China and India are not interested.
Everyone has known this for years.
Ditto COP22.
Ditto COP23.
Ditto COP999.
The science is garbage.
The negotiations are political fantasies.
Few people care anyway.
The whole thing is a process.
That’s the point and the scary aspect of climate change.
COP21 is merely a global process. Nobody is in charge, nobody is responsible,
there are no achievable goals, nobody cares.
Christmas is a process too. Christmas involves lying to
children about Santa Claus and no doubt many parents aren’t so keen on that,
but the lies are part of the process so they are widely told. Halloween is another
process. Many of us in the UK saw it start from nothing but one started the job
is done, possibly for decades, possibly centuries. Think of that – trick or
treat for centuries.
Once established a large-scale process tends to go on and on
because the number of beneficiaries is correspondingly large. Lies, evasions
and misinformation trigger few moral sensitivities if they are part of the
process. Everyone does it so it can’t be wrong, that’s the unspoken formula.
Achievements, failures and moral ambiguities are not
necessarily relevant, the only relevance is gain. Do beneficiaries gain? Christmas
and Halloween are funded by punters. Government-sponsored processes such as
COP21 are also funded by punters but without consent. Inevitably they tend to
be funded until a scandal or two render them politically whiffy.
Obvious lying, general silliness and an absence of global
warming do not constitute a scandal for COP21 and won’t for COP22, COP23 or COP999 unless
people within the process suddenly become significantly more moral. Sadly evolution
doesn’t work that quickly.
There’s the rub. Government-sponsored processes such as
COP21 don’t have to be honest, truthful or make sense. They don’t have to confer
benefits on anyone outside the process. As long as they confer benefits on
those inside the process, which may be as trivial uncritical peer review, as cut
and paste reporting or an annual jamboree, then reasons will be found for business as usual. Unless something big such
as another ice age diverts our attention of course but then it may be too late.
That’s the scary part. It doesn’t
really matter whether we see global warming, cooling or neither. Hardly anyone inside
the process actually cares. Prince Charles possibly, but he is a figure of fun these days.
Friday, 4 December 2015
I told 'em - Oldham
Actually I didn't. Anyone who can't remember the source of the title, it's explained here. As for yesterday's Labour by-election victory, it is unwise to base much on a single result, but anyone is bound to wonder, at least momentarily, if Jeremy Corbyn has a point.:
Jeremy Corbyn has said Labour’s decisive byelection victory in Oldham is proof that his party is a broad church with deep-rooted support across the country.
Certainly Labour support is very deep-rooted, we already know that. Whether an oddball political poseur such as Jeremy can mobilise and benefit from it remains to be seen, but I doubt it. We also have this reaction from politicalbetting.
The default assumption when parties talk about “internal polling” should be that they are lying
A cynic might add that it's the default position when parties say anything at all about any subject under the sun but that's another issue. The main issue is whether or not Jeremy is rather more popular with voters than he is with the media or his MPs.
Too early to tell but probably not in spite of the Oldham result. For example, recent polling does not suggest that he is seen as economically competent. Perhaps Oldham had a good candidate in Jim McMahon who comes across as personable and capable, in which case the result may not be so good for Jeremy after all. Personable and capable are not really what he wants on the benches behind his back.
Jeremy Corbyn has said Labour’s decisive byelection victory in Oldham is proof that his party is a broad church with deep-rooted support across the country.
Certainly Labour support is very deep-rooted, we already know that. Whether an oddball political poseur such as Jeremy can mobilise and benefit from it remains to be seen, but I doubt it. We also have this reaction from politicalbetting.
The default assumption when parties talk about “internal polling” should be that they are lying
A cynic might add that it's the default position when parties say anything at all about any subject under the sun but that's another issue. The main issue is whether or not Jeremy is rather more popular with voters than he is with the media or his MPs.
Too early to tell but probably not in spite of the Oldham result. For example, recent polling does not suggest that he is seen as economically competent. Perhaps Oldham had a good candidate in Jim McMahon who comes across as personable and capable, in which case the result may not be so good for Jeremy after all. Personable and capable are not really what he wants on the benches behind his back.
Thursday, 3 December 2015
Bloody war
Isn’t Middle East policy going well? Nobody really wanted to start from where we are now, not after a long series of wrong moves. Was the world a better place for us with Saddam, Gaddafi and Bashar Al-Assad keeping the lid on things? These conjectures are beyond analysis but it is very tempting to think so.
As far as I can see there are still lessons to be learned,
especially since the Russian intervention. Oddly enough Putin seems to have highlighted our
failure to look to our own culture, value it and energetically preserve what
was in our national interests to preserve.
For too long we have been told that the world is multicultural and to see it in any other way is
reactionary and xenophobic. Sadly that wasn’t a good move when playing the game of real life. These things have to evolve at their own pace. If indeed they ever do evolve,
Putin has also highlighted our failure to look to our national
interests and pursue them with deviously unyielding rigour. The same degree of rigour
imposed by the laws of evolution - survival of the fittest. We have
allowed ourselves to be less than fit.
As for the latest bombing campaign, it seems foolish to
assume that our leaders know what they are doing, know what their goals are and
how to achieve them. It even seems foolish to assume the intelligence they rely
on is indeed reliable.
Closer to home it has allowed Hilary Benn to make what appears to be a move on Jeremy Corbyn’s Labour party leadership.
Wednesday, 2 December 2015
Crappy furniture
A stock of clothes may last several years; a stock of furniture half a century or a century;
Adam Smith - The Wealth of Nations
Half a century? Not if you buy it from one of the big retailers matey. We recently wasted quite a few hours looking for a pair of armchairs which are both comfortable and likely to be reasonably durable. What an experience that was.
Most modern armchairs and sofas are crap displayed in vast soulless sheds. Ergonomically they are so poorly designed that most are not even worth trying. No head support, no lumbar support, no attempt to fit the human form, no attempt to inform potential customers about materials, springing or durability. Only glaring lies about amazing special offers which aren't amazing and aren't special.
As for quality, Adam Smith’s half a century is long gone. We even tried DFS as we found ourselves driving past the horrible place. Why anyone would go twice is a mystery. We won’t. If too many customers accept rubbish then rubbish is what we’ll get from the faceless corporate bean-counters. When it comes to furniture we certainly do accept rubbish, mountains and mountains of rubbish. It’s the same with politics but we never learn.
In the end we found some locally made furniture which looks promising. Lots of info on the materials and no hard sell. Expensive but not much more expensive than the crap so I think we’ll give the crap a miss. It isn’t simply a desire for a modicum of quality, but an equally strong desire to stick two fingers up at corporate indifference.
Adam Smith - The Wealth of Nations
Half a century? Not if you buy it from one of the big retailers matey. We recently wasted quite a few hours looking for a pair of armchairs which are both comfortable and likely to be reasonably durable. What an experience that was.
Most modern armchairs and sofas are crap displayed in vast soulless sheds. Ergonomically they are so poorly designed that most are not even worth trying. No head support, no lumbar support, no attempt to fit the human form, no attempt to inform potential customers about materials, springing or durability. Only glaring lies about amazing special offers which aren't amazing and aren't special.
As for quality, Adam Smith’s half a century is long gone. We even tried DFS as we found ourselves driving past the horrible place. Why anyone would go twice is a mystery. We won’t. If too many customers accept rubbish then rubbish is what we’ll get from the faceless corporate bean-counters. When it comes to furniture we certainly do accept rubbish, mountains and mountains of rubbish. It’s the same with politics but we never learn.
In the end we found some locally made furniture which looks promising. Lots of info on the materials and no hard sell. Expensive but not much more expensive than the crap so I think we’ll give the crap a miss. It isn’t simply a desire for a modicum of quality, but an equally strong desire to stick two fingers up at corporate indifference.
Tuesday, 1 December 2015
An energy myth
With the climate faithful assembled in Paris perhaps it is time to think about saving energy. A few years ago we replaced our old central heating boiler
with a new efficient energy saving model. We also added another
layer of loft insulation to take it up to whatever is the approved depth these
days.
As far as I can tell and admitting that these issues are
inherently uncertain, we are saving significant amounts of gas. Consequently we tweak up
the heat to enjoy a slightly warmer house and I don’t think we are alone in doing
so. So no energy saving, but suppose we decide to be more disciplined and end
up making a genuine energy saving of say £200 per year. Does that work?
I’m sure many others have pointed this out and it is no more than common sense anyway, but we are almost certain to spend
that saved £200 on something produced using energy. We could spend it on extra fuel for the car because we choose
to go out more often. We could put it towards new walking boots but they
require energy for manufacture, distribution and ultimate disposal. We could
spend it on trips to the theatre but they represent energy too.
Money and energy may not be exactly commensurate, but it is
impossible to consume without consuming energy, impossible to spend without spending
on energy in some form or another. So is it possible to save energy? Certainly it is possible to store energy via hot water, batteries or hydroelectric systems, but as ordinary consumers do we really save energy when we follow the energy mantras being hammered out in Paris?
One paragon of energy saving is cycling which is why we have
all those cycle tracks. Cycling saves a large amount of energy compared with a car
but saved energy ends up as saved money which has to be shoved under the
mattress or spent on other forms of energy. Bicycles, cycle tracks and Lycra
for a start. Not necessarily equal amounts of energy but for most people saving energy is just
another way of consuming energy because money is always involved.
Perhaps masses of complex energy calculations would show
genuine savings but I’m not so sure. As far as I can see the only practical way to preserve the energy represent by my original £200 worth of gas saving is to walk to the nearest
ATM, draw out £200 and burn it.
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