A recent Sunday found us walking the hills above Matlock.
For some reason lost in the mists of time, Matlock attracts hordes of motorcyclists,
especially on a fine day and especially on a Sunday.
The rumble of exhausts seems continuous. Even high up on the
hill it was loud. Low frequency sound carries and motorcyclists seem to love it.
At street level it can drown out a conversation. Looking down on yet another
stream of big blokes on big machines it momentarily seemed ridiculous, excessive
in the something should be done sense...
...but not for long. I was once a motorcyclist myself and
even now I fancy a ride on a big beast of a bike. Not through Matlock though.
Yet the worm of intolerance was there right enough, poking a scowling head out
of its little hole when the rumble became particularly loud.
All of us seem to have these worms of intolerance, the inner totalitarian who would ban even the most innocuous activity. Politics thrives on it, but where does it come from, this totalitarian worm? Why has it become such an integral feature of modern life?
A fundamental aspect of human behaviour is the way we follow
whatever path seems to lead to the minimum number of surprises. It’s a survival
trait. When confronted with a range of possibilities we seem to be programmed
to seek the safest and that is the one with the lowest likelihood of springing
surprises. We minimise the number of situations where we may have to adapt in unexpected ways.
It’s why our ancestors formed tribes, worshipped gods, built
castles, made laws, formed treaties, developed medicines and generally tried to
insure themselves against all manner of eventualities. It’s why we are suckers
for an infinite number of promised lands where punters supposedly live in a
state of bliss and perfect safety.
The sinister link with totalitarian government is obvious.
Totalitarian madness is what we get when
ruling castes rigorously root out potential surprises as a key element of their
political schema and their own survival. That’s the problem, when our leaders
and their senior functionaries aim to minimise surprises – all surprises -
everywhere.
Doesn’t work forever of course. With totalitarian government
we lose the ability to adapt and surprises become more dangerous to the rigid
structures built to keep them out. Eventually a fatal combination of
surprises leads to collapse, we have to adapt all over again and in so doing we
pave the way for another bout of totalitarian control.
If so, then the most interesting question is where are we in
the eternal totalitarian cycle? Pretty obvious I’d say.
We are on the that part of the cycle where totalitarian
plans, schemes and laws are spewing all over us until we don’t know if we can
get through a whole day without breaking some law. It may be a long climb to
the peak though. That pesky adaptability keeps us going for a long time.
The key point seems to be that we can do nothing about it,
nothing whatsoever. The ebb and flow of totalitarian rule is a feature of our
mental biochemistry. We may have big brains with amazing capabilities, but the
inexorable logic of personal safety always seems to screw us up.
It appears that we are unable to choose a path which is
likely to lead us to more surprises than the alternative. Our biochemistry just
doesn’t allow it. How could it? This is the totalitarian within us and until we
untangle it, understand it and learn how to veto its imperatives, until we
learn not to seek safety at any cost then the cycle is bound to continue.
In short, we sample the world to ensure our predictions become a self-fulfilling prophecy and surprises are avoided. In this view, perception is enslaved by action to provide veridical predictions (more formally, to make the freeenergy a tight bound on surprise) that guides active sampling of the sensorium.
Karl Friston
In short, we sample the world to ensure our predictions become a self-fulfilling prophecy and surprises are avoided. In this view, perception is enslaved by action to provide veridical predictions (more formally, to make the freeenergy a tight bound on surprise) that guides active sampling of the sensorium.
Karl Friston
5 comments:
Excellent, thought-provoking post. I remember that you referred some time ago to a writer who wrote about the "minimising surprises" paradigm, but the full importance of it passed me by until this post. Could you remind us who that writer was, so I can go back and have a look?
I think we can draw some comfort from your analysis. If society in general is hell-bent on increasing control and regulation, then it gives individuals who have sussed this fact a better opportunity to experiment and resist. Predictability can be our friend. If you are going to swim against the tide, would you rather be up against the big hairy bloke in the next valley, or those muppets who run the council?
(I recognise that in Derbyshire they are probably one and the same, but you get my drift...)
Sam - I should have provided a link. It was Karl Friston, a neuroscientist who said
In short, we sample the world to ensure our predictions become a self-fulfilling prophecy and surprises are avoided. In this view, perception is enslaved by action to provide veridical predictions (more formally, to make the freeenergy a tight bound on surprise) that guides active sampling of the sensorium.
What about the fact that our lives nowadays are crowded. There are more people to compete with - physically on the roads, in shops, etc and psychologically on TV and media and advertisments bombarding us. We no longer have space to ourselves. Being crowded puts people (just like any animal) under pressure, that makes them more competative, more aggressive, more self-centered and hence intolerant of others.
Don't do as I do, do as I say.
Woodsy - yes these pressures are real and more intense than they have ever been because of our unprecedentedly crowded lives. This puts pressure on our ability to make sense of things and avoid the unexpected which otherwise might overwhelm us.
Demetrius - much of it is verbal in that way. We invent simple answers which attract people.
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